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Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
1–1
Full-time
Bielefeld
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Bielefeld
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
100%
17%
Average goals
4,8
1,7
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
6,0
0,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
5,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
20 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 0
6 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Greuther Furth 17. · Bielefeld 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 +3 3
4 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Stuttgart 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 M'gladbach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Bayern Munich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Union Berlin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Leverkusen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Freiburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Bochum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Hertha 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Ein Frankfurt 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Greuther Furth 1 0 0 1 -4 0
18 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Bielefeld
Paul Seguin 🟨
5′
Håvard Nielsen 🟨
14′
45′
F. Klos 0–1
C. Brunner
Half-time 0–1
Dickson Abiama ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
49′
49′
ℹ️ Dickson Abiama
VAR: Penalty cancelled
1–1 B. Hrgota
50′
54′
🟨 Alessandro Schöpf
Hans Nunoo Sarpei 🟨
59′
Maximilian Bauer 🟨
62′
66′
🔁 N. De Medina
↦ C. Brunner
68′
🟨 Alessandro Schöpf
68′
🟥 Alessandro Schöpf
M. Christiansen 🔁
↦ H. Sarpei
71′
75′
🔁 F. Krüger
↦ F. Klos
75′
🔁 J. Serra
↦ B. Lasme
J. Dudziak 🔁
↦ H. Nielsen
78′
J. Leweling 🔁
↦ D. Abiama
86′
91′
🔁 R. Hack
↦ M. Okugawa
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

4-3-1-2
30 S. Burchert G
18 M. Meyerhöfer D
5 J. Hoogma D
27 G. Itter D
4 M. Bauer D
33 P. Seguin M
37 J. Green M
14 H. Sarpei M
16 H. Nielsen M
10 B. Hrgota F
11 D. Abiama F
Bench (9)
13 M. Christiansen
28 J. Dudziak
40 J. Leweling
6 A. Fein
21 T. Tillman
1 M. Funk
32 A. Barry
8 N. Seufert
23 G. Jung

Coach: S. Leitl

Bielefeld

4-3-1-2
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
5 J. Laursen D
4 J. Nilsson D
27 C. Brunner D
2 A. Pieper D
19 M. Prietl M
8 A. Schöpf M
16 F. Kunze M
11 M. Okugawa M
9 F. Klos F
10 B. Lasme F
Bench (9)
15 N. De Medina
18 F. Krüger
23 J. Serra
21 R. Hack
37 V. Cherny
13 S. Kapino
20 P. Wimmer
7 C. Gebauer
3 Guilherme Ramos

Coach: F. Kramer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,57
U ✓
3,39
B
2,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.