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Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
M'gladbach
T S U T T
3–1
Full-time
Bielefeld
U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Bielefeld
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
1,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%
18 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 17. · Bielefeld 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolfsburg 4 4 0 0 +5 12
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 1 0 +9 10
3 Dortmund 4 3 0 1 +4 9
4 Mainz 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 Freiburg 4 2 2 0 +2 8
6 Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 +6 7
7 FC Koln 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Union Berlin 4 1 3 0 +1 6
9 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 +1 4
10 Stuttgart 4 1 1 2 -1 4
11 Bielefeld 3 0 3 0 +0 3
12 RB Leipzig 4 1 0 3 -1 3
13 Bochum 4 1 0 3 -2 3
14 Ein Frankfurt 4 0 3 1 -3 3
15 Hertha 4 1 0 3 -6 3
16 Augsburg 4 0 2 2 -7 2
17 M'gladbach 3 0 1 2 -5 1
18 Greuther Furth 4 0 1 3 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Bielefeld
1–0 L. Stindl
L. Netz
35′
Half-time 1–0
H. Wolf 🔁
↦ J. Hofmann
46′
47′
M. Okugawa 1–1
P. Herrmann 🔁
↦ L. Netz
58′
Joseph Scally 🟨
68′
L. Bénes 🔁
↦ F. Neuhaus
68′
2–1 L. Stindl
P. Herrmann
69′
70′
🔁 B. Lasme
↦ P. Wimmer
3–1 D. Zakaria
P. Herrmann
72′
75′
🟨 Robin Hack
B. Embolo 🔁
↦ L. Stindl
77′
77′
🔁 J. Serra
↦ F. Klos
77′
🔁 F. Krüger
↦ M. Okugawa
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

M'gladbach

3-4-2-1
1 Y. Sommer G
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
15 L. Beyer D
29 J. Scally M
20 L. Netz M
13 L. Stindl F
23 J. Hofmann F
32 F. Neuhaus M
8 D. Zakaria M
14 A. Pléa F
Bench (9)
11 H. Wolf
7 P. Herrmann
22 L. Bénes
36 B. Embolo
34 C. Noß
24 T. Jantschke
21 T. Sippel
37 K. Bennetts
6 C. Kramer

Coach: A. Hütter

Bielefeld

4-3-3
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
5 J. Laursen D
4 J. Nilsson D
27 C. Brunner D
15 N. De Medina D
19 M. Prietl M
8 A. Schöpf M
11 M. Okugawa F
21 R. Hack M
20 P. Wimmer F
9 F. Klos F
Bench (8)
10 B. Lasme
23 J. Serra
18 F. Krüger
3 Guilherme Ramos
16 F. Kunze
13 S. Kapino
30 A. Andrade
6 L. Czyborra

Coach: F. Kramer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,46
U
4,68
B
6,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,26
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.