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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Bielefeld
T T T T T
1–2
Full-time
Leverkusen
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
14%
57%
Points per game
0,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
43%
71%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
0,6
2,0
Conceded
2,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

30% Possession 70%
0 Shots 8
0 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 10
3 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 15. · Leverkusen 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 7 6 0 1 +16 18
2 RB Leipzig 7 5 1 1 +11 16
3 Dortmund 7 5 0 2 +10 15
4 Leverkusen 7 4 3 0 +6 15
5 Union Berlin 7 3 3 1 +9 12
6 Wolfsburg 7 2 5 0 +2 11
7 M'gladbach 7 3 2 2 +0 11
8 Stuttgart 7 2 4 1 +4 10
9 Werder Bremen 7 2 4 1 +0 10
10 Augsburg 7 3 1 3 -1 10
11 Ein Frankfurt 7 2 4 1 -2 10
12 Hertha 7 2 1 4 +0 7
13 Hoffenheim 7 2 1 4 -1 7
14 Freiburg 7 1 3 3 -8 6
15 Bielefeld 7 1 1 5 -11 4
16 FC Koln 7 0 3 4 -5 3
17 Schalke 04 7 0 3 4 -17 3
18 Mainz 7 0 1 6 -13 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld Leverkusen
27′
L. Bailey 0–1
F. Wirtz
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. Weiser
↦ L. Bender
0–2 L. Hrádecký
own goal
47′
50′
🔁 A. Dragović
↦ S. Bender
S. Schipplock 🔁
↦ F. Klos
63′
65′
🟨 Aleksandar Dragović
68′
🔁 P. Schick
↦ L. Alario
C. Soukou 🔁
↦ R. Yabo
80′
F. Kunze 🔁
↦ N. Seufert
80′
80′
🔁 K. Demirbay
↦ N. Amiri
80′
🔁 K. Bellarabi
↦ M. Diaby
88′
A. Dragović 0–3
A. Voglsammer 🔁
↦ M. Hartel
90′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-1-4-1
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
6 M. van der Hoorn D
27 C. Brunner D
23 Anderson Lucoqui D
2 A. Pieper D
10 R. Yabo M
19 M. Prietl M
30 M. Hartel M
20 N. Seufert M
8 R. Doan M
9 F. Klos F
Bench (9)
36 S. Schipplock
17 C. Soukou
16 F. Kunze
21 A. Voglsammer
15 N. De Medina
38 J. Consbruch
4 J. Nilsson
34 O. Linnér
5 J. Laursen

Coach: U. Neuhaus

Leverkusen

4-3-3
1 L. Hrádecký G
5 S. Bender D
8 L. Bender D
4 J. Tah D
22 D. Sinkgraven D
15 J. Baumgartlinger M
11 N. Amiri M
27 F. Wirtz M
13 L. Alario F
9 L. Bailey F
19 M. Diaby F
Bench (9)
23 M. Weiser
6 A. Dragović
14 P. Schick
10 K. Demirbay
38 K. Bellarabi
21 L. Grill
18 Wendell
36 N. Lomb
16 T. Jedvaj

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,77
U
4,34
B ✓
1,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.