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Premier League
Referee: R Jones
Leicester
S T U S S
0–1
Full-time
Man City
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,7
This season — Premier League · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 49%
25%
73%
Points per game
0,9
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
75%
73%
Both score Ø 52%
58%
45%
Average goals
3,8
4,3
Scored
1,8
3,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 10
0 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leicester 17. · Man City 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Arsenal 11 9 1 1 +14 28
2 Man City 11 8 2 1 +25 26
3 Tottenham 12 7 2 3 +9 23
4 Newcastle 12 5 6 1 +10 21
5 Chelsea 11 6 3 2 +5 21
6 Man United 11 6 2 3 +0 20
7 Fulham 12 5 3 4 +0 18
8 Liverpool 11 4 4 3 +9 16
9 Brighton 11 4 3 4 +1 15
10 West Ham 12 4 2 6 -1 14
11 Brentford 12 3 5 4 -3 14
12 Everton 12 3 4 5 -1 13
13 Crystal Palace 11 3 4 4 -4 13
14 Bournemouth 12 3 4 5 -15 13
15 Aston Villa 12 3 3 6 -5 12
16 Southampton 12 3 3 6 -8 12
17 Leicester 12 3 2 7 -3 11
18 Leeds 11 2 3 6 -5 9
19 Wolves 12 2 3 7 -13 9
20 Nott'm Forest 12 2 3 7 -15 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leicester Man City
Half-time 0–0
N. Mendy 🔁
↦ K. Dewsbury-Hall
46′
49′
K. De Bruyne 0–1
K. Ịheanachọ 🔁
↦ J. Vardy
71′
P. Daka 🔁
↦ Ç. Söyüncü
72′
72′
🔁 Rúben Dias
↦ M. Akanji
77′
🔁 P. Foden
↦ J. Álvarez
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Leicester

3-4-3
1 D. Ward G
18 D. Amartey D
3 W. Faes D
4 Ç. Söyüncü D
27 T. Castagne M
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
8 Y. Tielemans M
2 J. Justin M
10 J. Maddison F
9 J. Vardy F
7 H. Barnes F
Bench (9)
24 N. Mendy
14 K. Ịheanachọ
20 P. Daka
26 D. Praet
25 W. Ndidi
11 M. Albrighton
33 L. Thomas
31 D. Iversen
17 Ayoze Pérez

Coach: B. Rodgers

Man City

4-3-3
31 Ederson G
5 J. Stones D
25 M. Akanji D
14 Aymeric Laporte D
7 João Cancelo D
17 K. De Bruyne M
16 Rodri M
8 İ. Gündoğan M
20 Bernardo Silva F
19 J. Álvarez F
10 J. Grealish F
Bench (9)
3 Rúben Dias
47 P. Foden
6 N. Aké
33 S. Carson
97 J. Wilson-Esbrand
26 R. Mahrez
21 Sergio Gómez
18 S. Ortega
82 R. Lewis

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,66
U
6,09
B ✓
1,29
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,44
U2,5 ✓
2,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Jones · 186 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.