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Premier League
Referee: M Salisbury
Bournemouth
T U S U U
2–1
Full-time
Leicester
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Leicester
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,8
This season — Premier League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
25%
13%
Points per game
1,1
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
50%
88%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
3,1
4,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
2,4
2,8
Goal diff per game
-1,6
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bournemouth 13. · Leicester 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Arsenal 8 7 0 1 +12 21
2 Man City 8 6 2 0 +20 20
3 Tottenham 8 5 2 1 +9 17
4 Brighton 7 4 2 1 +6 14
5 Chelsea 7 4 1 2 +0 13
6 Man United 7 4 0 3 -3 12
7 Newcastle 8 2 5 1 +4 11
8 Fulham 8 3 2 3 -2 11
9 Liverpool 7 2 4 1 +9 10
10 Brentford 8 2 4 2 +3 10
11 Everton 8 2 4 2 +0 10
12 Leeds 7 2 3 2 +0 9
13 Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 -13 9
14 Aston Villa 8 2 2 4 -4 8
15 West Ham 8 2 1 5 -4 7
16 Southampton 8 2 1 5 -5 7
17 Crystal Palace 7 1 3 3 -3 6
18 Wolves 8 1 3 4 -6 6
19 Leicester 8 1 1 6 -8 4
20 Nott'm Forest 8 1 1 6 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bournemouth Leicester
10′
P. Daka 0–1
11′
ℹ️ Patson Daka
VAR: Goal confirmed
Ryan Fredericks 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
59′
🟨 Boubakary Soumaré
67′
🔁 J. Vardy
↦ P. Daka
67′
🔁 D. Amartey
↦ T. Castagne
1–1 P. Billing
68′
2–1 R. Christie
D. Solanke
71′
J. Stacey 🔁
↦ R. Fredericks
72′
J. Anthony 🔁
↦ P. Billing
77′
79′
🔁 K. Ịheanachọ
↦ B. Soumaré
86′
🔁 Ayoze Pérez
↦ J. Justin
88′
🟨 James Maddison
K. Moore 🔁
↦ D. Solanke
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Bournemouth

4-4-2
13 Neto G
2 R. Fredericks D
6 C. Mepham D
25 M. Senesi D
15 A. Smith D
10 R. Christie M
4 L. Cook M
8 J. Lerma M
16 M. Tavernier M
29 P. Billing F
9 D. Solanke F
Bench (9)
17 J. Stacey
32 J. Anthony
21 K. Moore
3 J. Stephens
33 J. Zemura
1 M. Travers
18 J. Lowe
20 S. Dembélé
11 E. Marcondes

Coach: G. O'Neil

Leicester

4-1-4-1
1 D. Ward G
27 T. Castagne D
6 J. Evans D
3 W. Faes D
2 J. Justin D
42 B. Soumaré M
10 J. Maddison M
8 Y. Tielemans M
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
7 H. Barnes M
20 P. Daka F
Bench (9)
9 J. Vardy
18 D. Amartey
14 K. Ịheanachọ
17 Ayoze Pérez
11 M. Albrighton
26 D. Praet
44 S. Braybrooke
33 L. Thomas
31 D. Iversen

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,53
U
3,63
B
2,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Salisbury · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.