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Bundesliga

Referee: B Brand

Mainz

S S T S S

0–0

Full-time

Freiburg

T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

75%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

10 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 4. · Freiburg 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Mainz	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Freiburg	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+6	7
7	FC Koln	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Union Berlin	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Hertha	5	2	0	3	-5	6
10	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	+1	4
11	Stuttgart	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	M'gladbach	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	-1	3
14	Bochum	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Bielefeld	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Ein Frankfurt	4	0	3	1	-3	3
17	Augsburg	4	0	2	2	-7	2
18	Greuther Furth	5	0	1	4	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Mainz	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	FC Koln	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Union Berlin	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	M'gladbach	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+3	3
11	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Bochum	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Bielefeld	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Hoffenheim	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Greuther Furth	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Augsburg	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Mainz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Hertha	3	1	0	2	-5	3
9	Augsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	FC Koln	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Bielefeld	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	RB Leipzig	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	M'gladbach	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Greuther Furth	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.