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LaLiga2
Leganes
T U T U T
1–0
Full-time
Amorebieta
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Amorebieta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 19%
17%
20%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,6
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
1,8
2,6
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 5
9 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 22. · Amorebieta 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Gijon 5 4 1 0 +4 13
2 Almeria 6 4 0 2 +7 12
3 Ponferradina 5 4 0 1 +2 12
4 Tenerife 5 3 2 0 +5 11
5 Oviedo 6 2 3 1 +2 9
6 Ibiza 6 1 5 0 +1 8
7 Malaga 5 2 2 1 +1 8
8 Mirandes 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Eibar 5 2 1 2 -1 7
10 Valladolid 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Huesca 5 2 0 3 +1 6
12 Fuenlabrada 5 1 3 1 +1 6
13 Las Palmas 5 1 3 1 -1 6
14 Lugo 5 1 3 1 -1 6
15 Cartagena 5 2 0 3 -4 6
16 Burgos 5 1 2 2 +1 5
17 Sociedad B 5 1 2 2 -1 5
18 Zaragoza 5 1 2 2 -2 5
19 Amorebieta 5 1 2 2 -3 5
20 Girona 5 1 1 3 -2 4
21 Alcorcon 6 1 0 5 -7 3
22 Leganes 5 0 2 3 -3 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,66
U
3,53
B
5,52
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,51
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.