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Süper Lig
Referee: C Çakιr
3–1
Full-time
Rizespor
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Rizespor
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,2
This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%
23 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 12
17 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 17. · Rizespor 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Besiktas 4 3 1 0 +7 10
3 Karagumruk 5 3 1 1 +5 10
4 Fenerbahce 4 3 1 0 +5 10
5 Konyaspor 4 3 1 0 +4 10
6 Altay 5 3 0 2 +3 9
7 Galatasaray 4 2 2 0 +3 8
8 Hatayspor 4 2 1 1 +6 7
9 Kayserispor 4 2 1 1 +0 7
10 Yeni Malatyaspor 5 2 0 3 -5 6
11 Alanyaspor 4 2 0 2 -6 6
12 Goztep 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Kasimpasa 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Gaziantep 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 Antalyaspor 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Sivasspor 5 0 3 2 -2 3
17 Ad. Demirspor 4 0 2 2 -5 2
18 Rizespor 4 0 1 3 -6 1
19 Buyuksehyr 4 0 0 4 -4 0
20 Giresunspor 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Rizespor
7′
🟨 Damjan Đoković
Mario Balotelli ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
31′
31′
🟨 Selim Ay
31′
ℹ️ Mario Balotelli
VAR: Penalty cancelled
1–0 M. Balotelli
33′
2–0 M. Vargas
F. Ezeh
40′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Potuk
↦ D. Đoković
46′
🔁 L. Phiri
↦ E. Sabo
53′
Rick Boldrin 2–1
T. Boyd
M. Mimaroğlu 🔁
↦ F. Ezeh
55′
L. Castro 🔁
↦ B. Stambouli
63′
Y. Akgün 🔁
↦ M. Vargas
63′
65′
🔁 L. Rémy
↦ Y. Bolasie
65′
🔁 A. Umar
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
3–1 B. Bjarnason
S. Deli
66′
Jonas Svensson 🟨
72′
73′
🟨 Lebogang Phiri
Metehan Mimaroğlu 🟨
78′
80′
🔁 D. Hümmet
↦ Rick Boldrin
81′
🟨 Tyler Boyd
B. Assombalonga 🔁
↦ M. Balotelli
82′
T. Çamdal 🔁
↦ J. Svensson
83′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
35 F. Kaplan G
22 J. Svensson D
91 S. Deli D
5 S. Akaydin D
95 J. Rassoul D
67 B. Bjarnason M
90 B. Stambouli M
8 S. Kurt M
77 M. Vargas M
9 M. Balotelli F
15 F. Ezeh M
Bench (10)
17 M. Mimaroğlu
19 L. Castro
23 Y. Akgün
7 B. Assombalonga
20 T. Çamdal
4 S. Güler
6 K. Kanak
49 A. Murić
30 E. Uzun
2 T. Sanuç

Coach: V. Montella

Rizespor

4-2-3-1
23 G. Akkan G
5 S. Ay D
3 S. Holmén D
35 A. Koç D
8 D. Đoković M
10 Rick Boldrin M
52 E. Sabo M
27 Fabricio Baiano D
53 Y. Bolasie M
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
9 T. Boyd M
Bench (10)
4 A. Potuk
21 L. Phiri
7 L. Rémy
50 A. Umar
19 D. Hümmet
33 S. Yaşar
6 Y. Pehlivan
22 E. Topçu
77 G. Gönül
1 T. Çetin

Coach: B. Uygun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,62
B
4,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,84
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Çakιr · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.