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LaLiga2
Ibiza
U U S U U
1–1
Full-time
Oviedo
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ibiza Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 27%
20%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
67%
Both score Ø 74%
80%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 3
16 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ibiza 8. · Oviedo 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Gijon 5 4 1 0 +4 13
2 Almeria 6 4 0 2 +7 12
3 Ponferradina 5 4 0 1 +2 12
4 Tenerife 5 3 2 0 +5 11
5 Oviedo 5 2 2 1 +2 8
6 Malaga 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Mirandes 5 2 1 2 +1 7
8 Ibiza 5 1 4 0 +1 7
9 Eibar 5 2 1 2 -1 7
10 Valladolid 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Huesca 5 2 0 3 +1 6
12 Fuenlabrada 5 1 3 1 +1 6
13 Las Palmas 5 1 3 1 -1 6
14 Lugo 5 1 3 1 -1 6
15 Cartagena 5 2 0 3 -4 6
16 Burgos 5 1 2 2 +1 5
17 Sociedad B 5 1 2 2 -1 5
18 Zaragoza 5 1 2 2 -2 5
19 Amorebieta 5 1 2 2 -3 5
20 Girona 5 1 1 3 -2 4
21 Alcorcon 6 1 0 5 -7 3
22 Leganes 5 0 2 3 -3 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,57
U ✓
2,88
B
3,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,66
U2,5 ✓
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.