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Championship
Referee: D Webb
Middlesbrough
T U U T S
1–2
Full-time
Blackpool
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Blackpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Championship · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
29%
14%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
29%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Middlesbrough 15. · Blackpool 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 8 5 3 0 +8 18
2 Fulham 7 5 1 1 +12 16
3 Bournemouth 7 4 3 0 +7 15
4 Coventry 7 5 0 2 +3 15
5 Stoke 7 4 2 1 +2 14
6 Huddersfield 7 4 1 2 +4 13
7 QPR 7 3 3 1 +5 12
8 Sheffield United 9 3 3 3 +4 12
9 Cardiff 8 3 3 2 +3 12
10 Blackburn 7 3 3 1 +3 12
11 Luton 8 3 3 2 +1 12
12 Birmingham 8 3 2 3 +0 11
13 Preston 8 3 2 3 -1 11
14 Reading 8 3 1 4 -2 10
15 Middlesbrough 7 2 3 2 +0 9
16 Bristol City 7 2 3 2 +0 9
17 Millwall 7 1 4 2 -2 7
18 Barnsley 7 1 4 2 -3 7
19 Derby 8 1 4 3 -3 7
20 Peterboro 8 2 1 5 -7 7
21 Swansea 7 1 3 3 -4 6
22 Blackpool 7 1 2 4 -6 5
23 Hull 8 1 2 5 -7 5
24 Peterborough 7 1 1 5 -10 4
25 Nott'm Forest 7 0 1 6 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough Blackpool
1–0 M. Tavernier
D. Fry
8′
Dael Fry 🟨
12′
Matt Crooks 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–0
I. Jones 🔁
↦ A. Dijksteel
56′
62′
M. Ekpiteta 1–1
R. Keogh
71′
🔁 G. Madine
↦ T. John-Jules
78′
G. Hall 2–1
own goal
M. Payero 🔁
↦ J. Lea Siliki
79′
86′
🔁 J. Yates
↦ S. Lavery
U. Ikpeazu 🔁
↦ J. Howson
87′
93′
🔁 J. Lawrence-Gabriel
↦ J. Bowler
94′
🟨 Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lumley G
14 L. Peltier D
4 G. Hall D
2 A. Dijksteel D
16 J. Howson M
8 O. Hernández M
25 M. Crooks M
6 D. Fry D
23 J. Lea Siliki M
7 M. Tavernier M
11 A. Šporar F
Bench (7)
35 I. Jones
10 M. Payero
9 U. Ikpeazu
22 S. Bamba
28 L. Daniels
13 T. Olusanya
18 D. Watmore

Coach: N. Warnock

Blackpool

4-4-2
1 C. Maxwell G
26 R. Keogh D
29 L. Garbutt D
21 M. Ekpiteta D
35 D. Sterling D
12 K. Dougall M
8 R. Wintle M
11 J. Bowler M
19 S. Lavery F
10 K. Anderson M
28 T. John-Jules F
Bench (7)
14 G. Madine
9 J. Yates
4 J. Lawrence-Gabriel
3 J. Husband
2 C. Connolly
32 D. Grimshaw
16 S. Carey

Coach: N. Critchley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,84
U
3,43
B ✓
4,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,22
U2,5
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Webb · 199 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.