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Ligue 1

Referee: B Millot

Lens

U U S U S

1–0

Full-time

Lille

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 80%

80%

Average goals

3,4

3,6

Scored

2,0

1,4

Conceded

1,4

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

13 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lens 5. · Lille 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Angers	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Nice	4	3	1	0	+10	10
4	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Lens	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Clermont	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Lyon	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Lorient	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Montpellier	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Strasbourg	6	2	1	3	-1	7
11	Reims	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Rennes	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Lille	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Nantes	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	Monaco	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Brest	5	0	3	2	-4	3
18	St Etienne	5	0	3	2	-4	3
19	Metz	6	0	3	3	-7	3
20	Bordeaux	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Strasbourg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Angers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Montpellier	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Lyon	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Nice	2	1	1	0	+4	4
8	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Rennes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Lille	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Lens	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Brest	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Metz	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Reims	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Bordeaux	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Monaco	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Lens	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Nice	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Angers	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Reims	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Troyes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Clermont	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Monaco	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Lyon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Lille	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Lorient	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Brest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	St Etienne	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Metz	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.