Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Wisla Plock
Jagiellonia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 2 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 4 |
Zaglebie
|
7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 5 |
Wisla
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 6 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |
Piast Gliwice
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 |
Radomiak Radom
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |
Jagiellonia
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 |
Rakow
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Stal Mielec
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Cracovia
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 |
Wisla Plock
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 14 |
Warta Poznan
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 15 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 |
Legia
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 17 | Leczna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 |
Nieciecza
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock
Rakow
Wisla Plock
Zaglebie
Piast Gliwice
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock
Radomiak Radom
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.