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Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
Wolfsburg
S S U S T
1–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,8
4,5
Scored
2,3
2,5
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
42%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
75%
92%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,6
2,2
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 6. · Stuttgart 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 13 9 3 1 +20 30
2 Leverkusen 13 8 4 1 +16 28
3 RB Leipzig 13 8 4 1 +15 28
4 Dortmund 13 7 1 5 +8 22
5 Union Berlin 13 5 6 2 +9 21
6 Wolfsburg 12 5 6 1 +6 21
7 Stuttgart 12 4 6 2 +7 18
8 M'gladbach 13 4 6 3 +2 18
9 Ein Frankfurt 13 3 8 2 -1 17
10 Freiburg 13 4 5 4 -3 17
11 Augsburg 13 4 4 5 -4 16
12 Hoffenheim 13 4 3 6 -2 15
13 Werder Bremen 13 3 5 5 -5 14
14 Hertha 13 3 4 6 -4 13
15 FC Koln 13 2 5 6 -8 11
16 Bielefeld 13 3 1 9 -14 10
17 Mainz 13 1 3 9 -14 6
18 Schalke 04 13 0 4 9 -28 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Stuttgart
20′
🟨 Nicolás González
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Waldemar Anton
1–0 J. Brekalo
49′
K. Mbabu 🔁
↦ J. Brekalo
60′
60′
🔁 R. Massimo
↦ T. Coulibaly
61′
🔁 M. Klimowicz
↦ S. Wamangituka
D. Ginczek 🔁
↦ B. Białek
73′
J. Brooks 🔁
↦ M. Pongracic
73′
73′
🔁 S. Kalajdzic
↦ P. Stenzel
Renato Steffen 🟨
76′
81′
🔁 P. Klement
↦ D. Didavi
81′
🔁 G. Castro
↦ B. Sosa
86′
🟨 Orel Mangala
João Victor 🔁
↦ R. Baku
87′
Yannick Gerhardt 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-2-2
1 K. Casteels G
6 Paulo Otávio D
34 M. Pongracic D
4 M. Lacroix D
23 J. Guilavogui M
8 R. Steffen M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
7 J. Brekalo M
20 R. Baku D
9 W. Weghorst F
21 B. Białek F
Bench (7)
19 K. Mbabu
33 D. Ginczek
25 J. Brooks
40 João Victor
29 O. Marmoush
10 Y. Mallı
12 P. Pervan

Coach: O. Glasner

Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobel G
4 M. Kempf D
2 W. Anton D
15 P. Stenzel D
24 B. Sosa D
10 D. Didavi M
3 W. Endo M
23 O. Mangala M
7 T. Coulibaly F
22 N. González M
14 S. Wamangituka M
Bench (9)
30 R. Massimo
31 M. Klimowicz
9 S. Kalajdzic
21 P. Klement
8 G. Castro
35 M. Kamiński
33 F. Bredlow
20 P. Förster
5 K. Mavropanos

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,26
U
3,63
B
3,01
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,58
U2,5 ✓
2,36
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.