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Bundesliga
Referee: C Dingert
Dortmund
S T S T U
1–5
Full-time
Stuttgart
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
60%
30%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 65%
40%
90%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,9
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

71% Possession 29%
12 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 10
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dortmund 5. · Stuttgart 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 10 7 2 1 +18 23
2 Leverkusen 10 6 4 0 +10 22
3 RB Leipzig 10 6 3 1 +12 21
4 Wolfsburg 11 5 6 0 +7 21
5 Dortmund 10 6 1 3 +12 19
6 Union Berlin 10 4 4 2 +8 16
7 M'gladbach 10 4 4 2 +3 16
8 Stuttgart 10 3 5 2 +3 14
9 Ein Frankfurt 11 2 7 2 -3 13
10 Hoffenheim 10 3 3 4 +1 12
11 Augsburg 10 3 3 4 -3 12
12 Hertha 10 3 2 5 -1 11
13 Werder Bremen 10 2 5 3 -3 11
14 Freiburg 10 1 5 4 -10 8
15 FC Koln 10 1 4 5 -5 7
16 Bielefeld 10 2 1 7 -12 7
17 Mainz 10 1 2 7 -12 5
18 Schalke 04 10 0 3 7 -25 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dortmund Stuttgart
Emre Can 🟨
26′
26′
S. Wamangituka 0–1
28′
🟨 Konstantinos Mavropanos
1–1 G. Reyna
Raphaël Guerreiro
39′
40′
🟨 Wataru Endo
Half-time 1–1
50′
🟨 Silas Wamangituka
52′
S. Wamangituka 1–2
O. Mangala
Reinier 🔁
↦ E. Can
59′
60′
P. Förster 1–3
B. Sosa
63′
T. Coulibaly 1–4
S. Wamangituka
N. Schulz 🔁
↦ J. Bellingham
64′
Mateu Morey 🟨
66′
67′
🔁 N. González
↦ T. Coulibaly
67′
🔁 R. Massimo
↦ S. Wamangituka
77′
🔁 L. Egloff
↦ P. Förster
D. Zagadou 🔁
↦ M. Akanji
86′
Y. Moukoko 🔁
↦ Raphaël Guerreiro
86′
J. Brandt 🔁
↦ J. Sancho
86′
Giovanni Reyna ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
88′
88′
🔁 P. Stenzel
↦ K. Mavropanos
88′
🔁 D. Churlinov
↦ M. Klimowicz
91′
N. González 1–5
O. Mangala
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Dortmund

3-4-2-1
1 R. Bürki G
15 M. Hummels D
13 Raphaël Guerreiro M
16 M. Akanji D
2 Mateu Morey M
28 A. Witsel M
23 E. Can D
7 J. Sancho F
32 G. Reyna F
22 J. Bellingham M
11 M. Reus F
Bench (9)
20 Reinier
14 N. Schulz
5 D. Zagadou
18 Y. Moukoko
19 J. Brandt
26 Ł. Piszczek
35 M. Hitz
30 F. Passlack
8 M. Dahoud

Coach: L. Favre

Stuttgart

3-1-4-2
1 G. Kobel G
4 M. Kempf D
2 W. Anton D
24 B. Sosa M
5 K. Mavropanos D
3 W. Endo M
20 P. Förster M
23 O. Mangala M
31 M. Klimowicz F
7 T. Coulibaly F
14 S. Wamangituka M
Bench (9)
22 N. González
30 R. Massimo
25 L. Egloff
15 P. Stenzel
19 D. Churlinov
9 S. Kalajdzic
33 F. Bredlow
21 P. Klement
35 M. Kamiński

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,51
U
4,62
B ✓
5,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.