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Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
Augsburg
T U S T S
1–4
Full-time
Stuttgart
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 33%
36%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 65%
50%
79%
Average goals
2,5
3,4
Scored
1,1
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

43% Possession 57%
14 Shots 27
4 Shots on target 11
2 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 11
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 10. · Stuttgart 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 15 10 3 2 +22 33
2 RB Leipzig 15 9 4 2 +14 31
3 Leverkusen 15 8 5 2 +15 29
4 Dortmund 15 9 1 5 +12 28
5 Union Berlin 15 6 7 2 +11 25
6 Wolfsburg 15 6 7 2 +5 25
7 M'gladbach 15 6 6 3 +4 24
8 Freiburg 15 6 5 4 +4 23
9 Ein Frankfurt 15 5 8 2 +2 23
10 Augsburg 14 5 4 5 -3 19
11 Stuttgart 14 4 6 4 +5 18
12 Hertha 14 4 4 6 -1 16
13 Werder Bremen 15 3 6 6 -7 15
14 Hoffenheim 15 4 3 8 -8 15
15 FC Koln 15 2 5 8 -14 11
16 Bielefeld 14 3 1 10 -15 10
17 Schalke 04 15 1 4 10 -27 7
18 Mainz 15 1 3 11 -19 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Stuttgart
10′
N. González 0–1
Carlos Gruezo 🟨
23′
29′
S. Wamangituka 0–2
B. Sosa
32′
🟨 Waldemar Anton
Half-time 0–2
M. Gregoritsch 🔁
↦ R. Khedira
46′
1–2 M. Richter
R. Vargas
46′
50′
🟨 Wataru Endo
61′
ℹ️ Gonzalo Castro
VAR: Penalty confirmed
61′
G. Castro 1–3
N. González
M. Pedersen 🔁
↦ Iago
66′
R. Gumny 🔁
↦ R. Vargas
66′
A. Hahn 🔁
↦ C. Gruezo
66′
Marco Richter 🟨
73′
Marco Richter 🟨
76′
Marco Richter 🟥
76′
77′
🔁 P. Förster
↦ G. Castro
77′
🔁 D. Didavi
↦ M. Klimowicz
N. Sarenren Bazee 🔁
↦ F. Niederlechner
86′
86′
🔁 S. Kalajdzic
↦ S. Wamangituka
86′
🔁 T. Coulibaly
↦ N. González
87′
D. Didavi 1–4
W. Anton
90′
🔁 P. Klement
↦ W. Endo
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Augsburg

3-4-3
1 R. Gikiewicz G
19 F. Uduokhai D
22 Iago M
20 D. Caligiuri M
33 T. Strobl M
25 C. Gruezo M
8 R. Khedira D
23 M. Richter F
36 R. Oxford D
16 R. Vargas F
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (9)
11 M. Gregoritsch
3 M. Pedersen
2 R. Gumny
28 A. Hahn
17 N. Sarenren Bazee
41 T. Civeja
27 A. Finnbogason
40 T. Koubek
5 M. Suchý

Coach: H. Herrlich

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
1 G. Kobel G
4 M. Kempf D
2 W. Anton D
15 P. Stenzel D
24 B. Sosa M
8 G. Castro F
3 W. Endo M
23 O. Mangala M
31 M. Klimowicz F
22 N. González F
14 S. Wamangituka M
Bench (9)
20 P. Förster
10 D. Didavi
9 S. Kalajdzic
7 T. Coulibaly
21 P. Klement
33 F. Bredlow
16 A. Karazor
5 K. Mavropanos
19 D. Churlinov

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,30
U
3,51
B ✓
2,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,07
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.