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Bundesliga
Referee: T Stieler
Werder Bremen
T T T T S
0–2
Full-time
Union Berlin
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
23%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
38%
69%
Both score Ø 81%
77%
85%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,1
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 13. · Union Berlin 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 13 9 3 1 +20 30
2 Leverkusen 13 8 4 1 +16 28
3 RB Leipzig 13 8 4 1 +15 28
4 Wolfsburg 13 6 6 1 +7 24
5 Dortmund 13 7 1 5 +8 22
6 Union Berlin 13 5 6 2 +9 21
7 Stuttgart 13 4 6 3 +6 18
8 M'gladbach 13 4 6 3 +2 18
9 Ein Frankfurt 13 3 8 2 -1 17
10 Freiburg 13 4 5 4 -3 17
11 Augsburg 13 4 4 5 -4 16
12 Hoffenheim 13 4 3 6 -2 15
13 Werder Bremen 13 3 5 5 -5 14
14 Hertha 13 3 4 6 -4 13
15 FC Koln 13 2 5 6 -8 11
16 Bielefeld 13 3 1 9 -14 10
17 Mainz 13 1 3 9 -14 6
18 Schalke 04 13 0 4 9 -28 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Union Berlin
12′
S. Becker 0–1
T. Awoniyi
25′
🟨 Robert Andrich
28′
T. Awoniyi 0–2
R. Andrich
Christian Groß 🟨
33′
44′
🟨 Grischa Prömel
Half-time 0–2
D. Selke 🔁
↦ Y. Ōsako
46′
J. Mbom 🔁
↦ L. Bittencourt
46′
50′
🟨 Florian Hübner
Davie Selke 🟨
53′
68′
🟨 Sheraldo Becker
T. Chong 🔁
↦ L. Augustinsson
76′
N. Füllkrug 🔁
↦ R. Schmid
76′
76′
🔁 S. Griesbeck
↦ G. Prömel
M. Veljkovic 🔁
↦ Ö. Toprak
82′
83′
🔁 J. Ryerson
↦ T. Awoniyi
88′
🔁 C. Teuchert
↦ S. Becker
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pavlenka G
36 C. Groß M
21 Ö. Toprak D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
5 L. Augustinsson D
32 M. Friedl D
10 L. Bittencourt M
35 M. Eggestein M
20 R. Schmid M
8 Y. Ōsako M
19 J. Sargent F
Bench (9)
9 D. Selke
34 J. Mbom
22 T. Chong
11 N. Füllkrug
13 M. Veljkovic
29 P. Erras
27 S. Kapino
18 N. Moisander
17 F. Agu

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Union Berlin

5-3-2
1 A. Luthe G
19 F. Hübner D
28 C. Trimmel D
31 R. Knoche D
25 C. Lenz D
5 M. Friedrich D
30 R. Andrich M
21 G. Prömel M
27 S. Becker F
32 M. Ingvartsen M
14 T. Awoniyi F
Bench (9)
33 S. Griesbeck
6 J. Ryerson
36 C. Teuchert
18 K. Endo
20 L. Karius
15 M. Bülter
7 A. Gogia
23 N. Gießelmann
16 T. Maciejewski

Coach: U. Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,90
U
3,29
B ✓
2,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.