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Bundesliga
Referee: S Storks
FC Koln
S U S T U
0–1
Full-time
Augsburg
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 23%
15%
31%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 62%
69%
54%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 5
20 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 15. · Augsburg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 13 9 3 1 +20 30
2 Leverkusen 13 8 4 1 +16 28
3 RB Leipzig 13 8 4 1 +15 28
4 Wolfsburg 13 6 6 1 +7 24
5 Dortmund 13 7 1 5 +8 22
6 Union Berlin 13 5 6 2 +9 21
7 Stuttgart 13 4 6 3 +6 18
8 M'gladbach 13 4 6 3 +2 18
9 Ein Frankfurt 13 3 8 2 -1 17
10 Freiburg 13 4 5 4 -3 17
11 Augsburg 13 4 4 5 -4 16
12 Hoffenheim 13 4 3 6 -2 15
13 Werder Bremen 13 3 5 5 -5 14
14 Hertha 13 3 4 6 -4 13
15 FC Koln 13 2 5 6 -8 11
16 Bielefeld 13 3 1 9 -14 10
17 Mainz 13 1 3 9 -14 6
18 Schalke 04 13 0 4 9 -28 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Augsburg
12′
🟨 Felix Uduokhai
Half-time 0–0
J. Hector 🔁
↦ J. Thielmann
61′
A. Modeste 🔁
↦ E. Rexhbecaj
62′
Anthony Modeste 🟨
64′
64′
🟨 Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
71′
🔁 A. Hahn
↦ R. Vargas
Sebastiaan Bornauw 🟨
74′
77′
Iago 0–1
F. Niederlechner
D. Drexler 🔁
↦ S. Özcan
82′
D. Limnios 🔁
↦ R. Czichos
82′
85′
🟨 Marco Richter
T. Arokodare 🔁
↦ N. Katterbach
87′
89′
🔁 M. Gregoritsch
↦ M. Richter
92′
🔁 R. Khedira
↦ C. Gruezo
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

FC Koln

3-1-4-2
1 T. Horn G
5 R. Czichos D
22 Jorge Meré D
33 S. Bornauw D
3 N. Katterbach M
18 O. Duda F
31 M. Wolf M
28 E. Skhiri M
20 E. Rexhbecaj M
21 S. Özcan M
29 J. Thielmann F
Bench (9)
14 J. Hector
27 A. Modeste
24 D. Drexler
15 D. Limnios
7 T. Arokodare
23 J. Horn
16 R. Zieler
26 S. Cestic
2 B. Schmitz

Coach: M. Gisdol

Augsburg

3-4-3
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
19 F. Uduokhai D
22 Iago M
20 D. Caligiuri M
33 T. Strobl M
25 C. Gruezo M
23 M. Richter F
36 R. Oxford D
16 R. Vargas F
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (9)
28 A. Hahn
11 M. Gregoritsch
8 R. Khedira
3 M. Pedersen
44 D. Berisha
40 T. Koubek
41 T. Civeja
2 R. Gumny
5 M. Suchý

Coach: H. Herrlich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U
3,29
B ✓
3,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Storks · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.