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Super League

Referee: F San

Winterthur

U U S S U

1–0

Full-time

Servette

S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Servette

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 47%

39%

54%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

71%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

86%

64%

Average goals

3,6

2,9

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,78 xG 1,38

34% Possession 66%

12 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 10

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 6. · Servette 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	28	16	6	6	+29	+1.2	54
2	Servette	28	15	9	4	+18	+23.5	54
3	Lugano	28	14	4	10	+10	+7.8	46
4	Zurich	28	11	10	7	+10	+2.1	43
5	St. Gallen	28	12	5	11	+4	+12.6	41
6	Winterthur	28	11	8	9	-2	-6.3	41
7	Luzern	28	11	5	12	-4	+2.7	38
8	Yverdon	28	9	6	13	-20	-16.5	33
9	Lausanne	28	8	8	12	-5	-1.1	32
10	Basel	28	9	5	14	-11	-3.1	32
11	Grasshoppers	28	8	6	14	-3	-8.1	30
12	Lausanne Ouchy	28	4	8	16	-26	-14.7	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	14	11	2	1	+28	+5.4	35
2	Servette	14	9	4	1	+15	+15.4	31
3	St. Gallen	14	10	1	3	+12	+7.0	31
4	Zurich	14	7	6	1	+9	+1.4	27
5	Winterthur	14	8	3	3	+4	+1.4	27
6	Yverdon	14	8	3	3	+2	-5.2	27
7	Luzern	14	8	2	4	+5	+3.2	26
8	Lugano	14	7	3	4	+6	+6.6	24
9	Lausanne	14	6	4	4	+6	+3.8	22
10	Grasshoppers	14	6	3	5	+7	-2.0	21
11	Basel	14	5	3	6	+0	-1.2	18
12	Lausanne Ouchy	14	2	6	6	-14	-5.3	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	14	6	5	3	+3	+8.1	23
2	Lugano	14	7	1	6	+4	+1.2	22
3	Young Boys	14	5	4	5	+1	-4.2	19
4	Zurich	14	4	4	6	+1	+0.7	16
5	Winterthur	14	3	5	6	-6	-7.7	14
6	Basel	14	4	2	8	-11	-1.9	14
7	Luzern	14	3	3	8	-9	-0.5	12
8	St. Gallen	14	2	4	8	-8	+5.6	10
9	Lausanne	14	2	4	8	-11	-5.0	10
10	Grasshoppers	14	2	3	9	-10	-6.1	9
11	Lausanne Ouchy	14	2	2	10	-12	-9.4	8
12	Yverdon	14	1	3	10	-22	-11.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.