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Super League

Referee: L Cibelli

Lugano

S T U S T

0–3

Full-time

Zurich

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Zurich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 44%

48%

40%

Points per game

1,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

60%

44%

Both score Ø 64%

72%

56%

Average goals

3,0

2,6

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,44 xG 1,55

60% Possession 40%

17 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 3

5 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 8

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 3. · Zurich 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	26	13	6	7	+27	+16.8	45
2	Servette	26	12	9	5	+7	+3.0	45
3	Lugano	25	12	6	7	+8	+6.2	42
4	Luzern	25	12	6	7	+6	+4.6	42
5	Lausanne	26	10	7	9	+9	+9.6	37
6	Young Boys	25	10	7	8	+6	+7.9	37
7	St. Gallen	26	9	9	8	+2	-6.7	36
8	Zurich	25	10	6	9	-2	-5.1	36
9	Sion	26	8	6	12	-7	+2.7	30
10	Yverdon	25	6	6	13	-18	-15.2	24
11	Grasshoppers	25	4	11	10	-10	-6.8	23
12	Winterthur	26	5	5	16	-28	-17.0	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	13	8	3	2	+14	+5.7	27
2	Lugano	13	8	3	2	+10	+8.6	27
3	Basel	13	8	2	3	+13	+14.9	26
4	Lausanne	14	8	2	4	+12	+9.4	26
5	Luzern	13	8	2	3	+8	+9.2	26
6	Servette	13	7	5	1	+7	+5.6	26
7	St. Gallen	12	5	6	1	+9	+2.7	21
8	Sion	12	5	5	2	+8	+12.3	20
9	Zurich	13	5	4	4	+1	-2.1	19
10	Yverdon	12	5	2	5	-2	-2.3	17
11	Winterthur	13	5	1	7	-7	-3.1	16
12	Grasshoppers	12	1	7	4	-4	+4.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	13	5	4	4	+14	+1.9	19
2	Servette	13	5	4	4	+0	-2.6	19
3	Zurich	12	5	2	5	-3	-3.0	17
4	Luzern	12	4	4	4	-2	-4.6	16
5	Lugano	12	4	3	5	-2	-2.4	15
6	St. Gallen	14	4	3	7	-7	-9.4	15
7	Grasshoppers	13	3	4	6	-6	-11.6	13
8	Lausanne	12	2	5	5	-3	+0.2	11
9	Young Boys	12	2	4	6	-8	+2.2	10
10	Sion	14	3	1	10	-15	-9.6	10
11	Yverdon	13	1	4	8	-16	-13.0	7
12	Winterthur	13	0	4	9	-21	-13.9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.