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Super League
Referee: A Kanagasingam
Winterthur
U T U T T
0–2
Full-time
Zurich
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 26%
14%
38%
Points per game
0,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
52%
38%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,58 xG 2,08
36% Possession 64%
9 Shots 22
3 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 9
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 12
5 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Winterthur 12. · Zurich 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lugano 22 11 5 6 +7 +2.2 38
2 Basel 21 11 4 6 +25 +15.9 37
3 Luzern 21 10 6 5 +7 +5.3 36
4 Servette 22 8 9 5 +2 +0.4 33
5 Lausanne 22 9 5 8 +7 +10.8 32
6 St. Gallen 22 8 8 6 +6 -4.4 32
7 Young Boys 22 8 7 7 +2 +5.8 31
8 Zurich 21 8 6 7 -3 -6.6 30
9 Sion 22 7 6 9 -1 +5.1 27
10 Grasshoppers 22 4 9 9 -9 -5.1 21
11 Yverdon 22 5 6 11 -15 -15.0 21
12 Winterthur 21 3 5 13 -28 -14.4 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Winterthur Zurich
Half-time 0–0
T. Schättin 🔁
↦ S. Diaby
46′
63′
C. Tsawa 0–1
B. Krasniqi
68′
🔁 C. Fiorini
↦ B. Krasniqi
69′
🔁 Rodrigo Conceição
↦ S. Ballet
A. Durrer 🔁
↦ R. Schneider
77′
J. Lukembila 🔁
↦ D. Ulrich
77′
80′
S. Zuber 0–2
C. Tsawa
86′
🔁 N. Volken
↦ J. Markelo
86′
🔁 M. Reichmuth
↦ M. Chouiar
F. Frei 🔁
↦ S. Cueni
87′
R. Buess 🔁
↦ C. Gomis
87′
89′
🔁 U. Emmanuel
↦ J. Perea
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Winterthur

4-2-3-1
1 S. Kapino G
24 S. Sidler D
16 R. Arnold D
21 L. Lüthi D
18 S. Diaby D
44 S. Cueni M
6 R. Schneider M
19 D. Ulrich M
28 A. Baroan M
10 M. Di Giusto M
15 C. Gomis F
Bench (9)
3 T. Schättin
22 A. Durrer
90 J. Lukembila
20 F. Frei
9 R. Buess
30 M. Kuster
7 L. Zuffi
4 B. Stillhart
23 G. Lekaj

Coach: U. Forte

Zurich

3-4-1-2
25 Y. Brecher G
4 J. Gbamin D
5 M. Gómez D
20 C. Ligue D
8 S. Ballet M
17 S. Zuber M
6 C. Tsawa M
26 J. Markelo M
7 B. Krasniqi F
9 J. Perea F
23 M. Chouiar F
Bench (9)
34 C. Fiorini
27 Rodrigo Conceição
43 N. Volken
38 M. Reichmuth
11 U. Emmanuel
36 D. Denoon
1 Ž. Kostadinović
29 D. Reverson
22 A. Oko-Flex

Coach: R. Moniz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kanagasingam · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.