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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Zurich
S T T T S
2–1
Full-time
Servette
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 43%
37%
49%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
49%
49%
Both score Ø 55%
46%
63%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,02 xG 0,93
59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 5. · Servette 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 35 20 8 7 +36 +5.2 68
2 Lugano 35 19 5 11 +17 +11.4 62
3 Servette 35 17 10 8 +16 +29.1 61
4 St. Gallen 35 15 9 11 +10 +14.0 54
5 Zurich 35 13 12 10 +9 +0.2 51
6 Winterthur 35 13 10 12 -4 -7.0 49
7 Luzern 35 12 10 13 -5 +1.7 46
8 Basel 36 12 9 15 -8 -3.9 45
9 Yverdon 36 12 7 17 -23 -18.4 43
10 Lausanne 35 10 11 14 -7 +1.5 41
11 Grasshoppers 36 10 7 19 -7 -11.4 37
12 Lausanne Ouchy 36 6 8 22 -34 -22.2 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zurich Servette
Cheick Oumar Conde 🟨
12′
13′
D. Douline 0–1
A. Baron
Amadou Dante 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–1
J. Sabobo 🔁
↦ N. Reichmuth
46′
I. Santini 🔁
↦ C. Conde
46′
53′
🟨 Théo Magnin
1–1 A. Marchesano
Rodrigo Conceição
54′
58′
🟨 Dereck Kutesa
2–1 B. Krasniqi
A. Marchesano
70′
L. Kamberi 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Conceição
78′
81′
🔁 B. Mazikou
↦ A. Baron
81′
🔁 T. Nishimura
↦ J. Guillemenot
81′
🔁 B. Bolla
↦ A. Antunes
C. Tsawa 🔁
↦ A. Marchesano
82′
F. Daprelà 🔁
↦ A. Oko-Flex
86′
89′
ℹ️ Steve Rouiller
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Zurich

4-3-1-2
25 Y. Brecher G
27 Rodrigo Conceição D
24 N. Katić D
31 M. Kryeziu D
44 A. Dante D
12 I. Mathew M
17 C. Conde M
7 B. Krasniqi M
10 A. Marchesano M
22 A. Oko-Flex F
37 N. Reichmuth F
Bench (9)
33 J. Sabobo
9 I. Santini
2 L. Kamberi
36 C. Tsawa
5 F. Daprelà
16 M. Hornschuh
1 Ž. Kostadinović
3 Adrián Guerrero
18 D. Afriyie

Coach: R. Moniz

Servette

4-1-4-1
32 J. Frick G
20 T. Magnin D
4 S. Rouiller D
19 Y. Severin D
6 A. Baron D
28 D. Douline M
9 M. Stevanović M
10 A. Antunes M
8 T. Cognat M
17 D. Kutesa M
21 J. Guillemenot F
Bench (7)
18 B. Mazikou
7 T. Nishimura
77 B. Bolla
25 D. Bronn
1 J. Mall
31 T. Ouattara
3 K. Tsunemoto

Coach: R. Weiler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

U Schnyder · 151 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.