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Super League

Referee: S Horisberger

Servette

S S S T U

2–1

Full-time

Lugano

T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 46%

48%

43%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

48%

74%

Both score Ø 63%

65%

61%

Average goals

3,0

3,4

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,93 xG 0,70

59% Possession 41%

26 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

13 Corners 5

3 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Servette 2. · Lugano 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	24	15	6	3	+29	+2.6	51
2	Servette	23	11	8	4	+12	+13.9	41
3	St. Gallen	24	11	4	9	+6	+10.6	37
4	Zurich	23	9	9	5	+11	+2.3	36
5	Lugano	23	10	4	9	+5	+5.5	34
6	Luzern	23	10	4	9	-2	+1.7	34
7	Winterthur	24	9	6	9	-5	-4.2	33
8	Yverdon	24	8	6	10	-16	-11.1	30
9	Grasshoppers	24	8	4	12	+0	-6.0	28
10	Basel	24	8	4	12	-8	-7.5	28
11	Lausanne	24	6	7	11	-6	+3.7	25
12	Lausanne Ouchy	24	3	6	15	-26	-11.5	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	12	10	2	0	+25	+5.1	32
2	St. Gallen	12	9	1	2	+12	+5.9	28
3	Luzern	11	8	1	2	+7	+3.2	25
4	Yverdon	12	7	3	2	+3	-0.8	24
5	Zurich	12	6	5	1	+8	+1.0	23
6	Servette	11	6	4	1	+10	+6.9	22
7	Winterthur	12	6	3	3	+1	+0.9	21
8	Grasshoppers	12	6	2	4	+8	-0.8	20
9	Lausanne	12	5	3	4	+4	+1.6	18
10	Lugano	12	5	3	4	+2	+2.4	18
11	Basel	12	5	2	5	+1	-3.8	17
12	Lausanne Ouchy	12	1	5	6	-15	-4.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	12	5	4	3	+4	-2.5	19
2	Servette	12	5	4	3	+2	+7.0	19
3	Lugano	11	5	1	5	+3	+3.2	16
4	Zurich	11	3	4	4	+3	+1.2	13
5	Winterthur	12	3	3	6	-6	-5.2	12
6	Basel	12	3	2	7	-9	-3.6	11
7	St. Gallen	12	2	3	7	-6	+4.7	9
8	Luzern	12	2	3	7	-9	-1.5	9
9	Grasshoppers	12	2	2	8	-8	-5.3	8
10	Lausanne	12	1	4	7	-10	+2.1	7
11	Lausanne Ouchy	12	2	1	9	-11	-7.4	7
12	Yverdon	12	1	3	8	-19	-10.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.