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Super League
Referee: L Piccolo
Basel
U U U S S
0–0
Full-time
Yverdon
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Yverdon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 35%
35%
35%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
49%
68%
Both score Ø 60%
54%
65%
Average goals
2,6
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,37 xG 0,62
53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
5 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 8. · Yverdon 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 37 22 8 7 +39 +6.5 74
2 Lugano 37 20 5 12 +18 +11.8 65
3 Servette 37 17 10 10 +14 +28.3 61
4 Zurich 37 15 12 10 +11 -0.4 57
5 St. Gallen 37 16 9 12 +10 +13.8 57
6 Luzern 37 13 10 14 -5 +1.3 49
7 Winterthur 37 13 10 14 -8 -7.2 49
8 Basel 37 13 9 15 -7 -3.3 48
9 Yverdon 37 13 7 17 -21 -18.0 46
10 Lausanne 37 11 11 15 -5 +4.5 44
11 Grasshoppers 37 10 7 20 -8 -12.0 37
12 Lausanne Ouchy 37 6 8 23 -38 -25.3 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Basel Yverdon
Finn van Breemen 🟨
23′
Dominik Schmid 🟨
32′
Thierno Barry 🟨
38′
Sergio López 🔁
↦ A. Kade
38′
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Niklas Gunnarsson
57′
🟨 Dimitrije Kamenović
Arnau Comas 🔁
↦ M. Lang
63′
L. Avdullahu 🔁
↦ T. Xhaka
63′
68′
🟨 Boris Céspedes
71′
🔁 E. Maurin
↦ R. Alves
A. Ajeti 🔁
↦ T. Barry
75′
A. Hunziker 🔁
↦ B. Kololli
76′
81′
🟨 Marley Aké
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Basel

3-4-3
13 M. Salvi G
5 M. Lang D
32 J. Adjetey D
25 F. van Breemen D
30 A. Kade M
34 T. Xhaka M
20 F. Frei M
31 D. Schmid M
33 J. Gauto F
9 T. Barry F
7 B. Kololli F
Bench (8)
22 Sergio López
4 Arnau Comas
37 L. Avdullahu
23 A. Ajeti
17 A. Hunziker
1 M. Hitz
35 R. Beney
28 D. Kacuri

Coach: F. Celestini

Yverdon

5-4-1
40 P. Bernardoni G
32 A. Sauthier D
23 N. Gunnarsson D
25 Christian Marques D
3 D. Kamenović D
6 W. Le Pogam D
7 Mauro Rodrigues M
5 B. Céspedes M
13 M. Olesen M
9 M. Aké M
17 R. Alves F
Bench (9)
70 E. Maurin
19 Y. Cotter
71 B. Malula
28 Liziero
88 C. Lungoyi
97 M. Klepač
4 D. Del Fabro
99 M. Mazzeo
22 K. Martin

Coach: A. Mangiarratti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Piccolo · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.