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Super League

Referee: S Wolfensberger

Basel

T T T S T

2–0

Full-time

St. Gallen

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel St. Gallen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,2

Scored

0,5

2,8

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 13/14 matches

Win Ø 36%

15%

57%

Points per game

0,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

85%

64%

Both score Ø 74%

69%

79%

Average goals

3,5

3,1

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

2,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,20 xG 0,94

48% Possession 52%

10 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 4

4 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 12. · St. Gallen 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	15	8	6	1	+16	-0.6	30
2	Young Boys	14	8	4	2	+17	+0.8	28
3	St. Gallen	14	8	3	3	+12	+7.4	27
4	Servette	14	7	4	3	+6	+6.7	25
5	Luzern	15	7	3	5	-3	+1.4	24
6	Lugano	14	6	1	7	+2	+4.8	19
7	Lausanne	15	5	4	6	+1	+1.8	19
8	Yverdon	15	4	5	6	-11	-5.6	17
9	Winterthur	15	4	4	7	-8	-1.0	16
10	Grasshoppers	14	4	2	8	-3	-3.1	14
11	Lausanne Ouchy	14	2	4	8	-15	-4.8	10
12	Basel	13	2	2	9	-14	-7.9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	7	7	0	0	+12	+2.6	21
2	Luzern	8	6	1	1	+6	+3.6	19
3	Zurich	8	5	2	1	+7	-1.4	17
4	Young Boys	6	5	1	0	+15	+2.3	16
5	Lausanne	8	4	2	2	+4	+1.8	14
6	Servette	7	3	3	1	+5	+1.7	12
7	Yverdon	8	3	3	2	-3	-1.2	12
8	Winterthur	7	3	2	2	+0	+1.3	11
9	Lugano	6	3	1	2	+3	+2.3	10
10	Grasshoppers	7	3	1	3	+2	-1.5	10
11	Basel	7	2	2	3	-1	-3.8	8
12	Lausanne Ouchy	7	1	3	3	-8	-1.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	7	3	4	0	+9	+0.8	13
2	Servette	7	4	1	2	+1	+5.0	13
3	Young Boys	8	3	3	2	+2	-1.5	12
4	Lugano	8	3	0	5	-1	+2.4	9
5	St. Gallen	7	1	3	3	+0	+4.8	6
6	Lausanne	7	1	2	4	-3	+0.0	5
7	Winterthur	8	1	2	5	-8	-2.3	5
8	Yverdon	7	1	2	4	-8	-4.4	5
9	Luzern	7	1	2	4	-9	-2.2	5
10	Grasshoppers	7	1	1	5	-5	-1.6	4
11	Lausanne Ouchy	7	1	1	5	-7	-3.1	4
12	Basel	6	0	0	6	-13	-4.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.