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Super League
Referee: F San
St. Gallen
S U T S T
2–2
Full-time
Luzern
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Super League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 68%
70%
65%
Average goals
3,5
3,1
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%
10 Shots 26
3 Shots on target 13
3 Blocked shots 7
10 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gallen 4. · Luzern 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 21 13 7 1 +35 46
2 Servette 20 8 8 4 +0 32
3 Lugano 21 8 5 8 +0 29
4 St. Gallen 20 8 4 8 +7 28
5 Luzern 20 6 8 6 +1 26
6 Basel 20 6 7 7 +4 25
7 Grasshoppers 20 6 6 8 -3 24
8 Sion 21 5 7 9 -10 22
9 Winterthur 21 5 6 10 -22 21
10 Zurich 20 4 8 8 -12 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Oct -22 Luzern – St. Gallen 3–3 13. Aug -22 St. Gallen – Luzern 4–1 18. Apr -22 Luzern – St. Gallen 3–2 19. Mar -22 St. Gallen – Luzern 3–2 24. Oct -21 Luzern – St. Gallen 2–0

Match report

St. Gallen Luzern
Jérémy Guillemenot ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
12′
13′
🟨 Martin Frýdek
1–0 J. Guillemenot ⚽
13′
Lawrence Ati 🟥
20′
L. Watkowiak 🔁
↦ W. Geubbels
22′
32′
⚽ M. Frýdek 1–1
M. Meyer
45′
🟨 Ardon Jashari
Half-time 1–1
54′
🟨 Pascal Schürpf
Leon Dajaku 🟨
57′
I. Schmidt 🔁
↦ C. Witzig
59′
62′
⚽ N. Beloko 1–2
P. Dorn
64′
🔁 D. Sorgić
↦ T. Klidjé
C. Akolo 🔁
↦ L. Dajaku
67′
N. Ndombasi 🔁
↦ J. Guillemenot
67′
E. Latte Lath 🔁
↦ M. Kempter
67′
Lukas Görtler ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
78′
2–2 M. Maglica ⚽
79′
80′
🔁 M. Diambou
↦ M. Dräger
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
20 A. Vallçi D
4 L. Stergiou D
5 M. Maglica D
24 M. Kempter D
16 L. Görtler M
8 Jordi Quintillà M
37 C. Witzig M
77 L. Dajaku M
69 W. Geubbels F
9 J. Guillemenot F
Bench (9)
25 L. Watkowiak
33 I. Schmidt
10 C. Akolo
93 N. Ndombasi
22 E. Latte Lath
34 S. Guidotti
28 R. Alves
23 G. Karlen
6 B. Stillhart

Coach: P. Zeidler

Luzern

4-3-1-2
38 P. Loretz G
2 M. Dräger D
5 D. Simani D
30 I. Beka D
13 M. Frýdek D
20 P. Dorn M
6 A. Jashari M
18 N. Beloko M
7 M. Meyer M
11 P. Schürpf F
17 T. Klidjé F
Bench (9)
9 D. Sorgić
15 M. Diambou
77 B. Kimpioka
14 L. Breedijk
33 L. Meyer
31 L. Emini
44 D. Heller
71 L. Jaquez
74 S. Ottiger

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F San · 137 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.