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Super League

Referee: L Cibelli

Luzern

T T U S S

3–0

Full-time

Winterthur

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

75%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,06 xG 0,63

38% Possession 62%

13 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 6. · Winterthur 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	4	3	1	0	+6	+1.7	10
2	Sion	4	3	0	1	+6	+4.8	9
3	St. Gallen	4	3	0	1	+5	-0.8	9
4	Lugano	4	3	0	1	+3	+1.0	9
5	Servette	5	3	0	2	-4	-2.0	9
6	Luzern	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.1	7
7	Basel	4	2	0	2	+7	+3.0	6
8	Winterthur	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.7	4
9	Lausanne	4	1	0	3	-6	-1.0	3
10	Yverdon	4	0	2	2	-3	-0.4	2
11	Young Boys	5	0	2	3	-7	-0.5	2
12	Grasshoppers	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sion	2	2	0	0	+6	+4.4	6
2	St. Gallen	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.0	6
3	Zurich	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.3	6
4	Lugano	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.4	6
5	Servette	3	2	0	1	-3	-2.0	6
6	Winterthur	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
7	Lausanne	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.5	3
8	Luzern	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.0	3
9	Young Boys	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.7	1
10	Yverdon	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.8	1
11	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.1	1
12	Basel	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	3	2	0	1	+8	+1.6	6
2	Zurich	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.3	4
3	Luzern	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.1	4
4	Lugano	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
5	St. Gallen	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.7	3
6	Sion	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.3	3
7	Servette	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.0	3
8	Yverdon	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
9	Young Boys	3	0	1	2	-6	+1.2	1
10	Grasshoppers	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.0	0
11	Winterthur	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.3	0
12	Lausanne	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.