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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
Zurich
T S U S S
1–1
Full-time
Winterthur
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Winterthur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
This season — Super League · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 25%
21%
28%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
42%
44%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%
17 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 9. · Winterthur 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 19 12 6 1 +31 42
2 Servette 19 7 8 4 -1 29
3 St. Gallen 19 8 4 7 +11 28
4 Lugano 20 8 4 8 +0 28
5 Luzern 20 6 8 6 +1 26
6 Basel 20 6 7 7 +4 25
7 Grasshoppers 20 6 6 8 -3 24
8 Sion 20 5 6 9 -10 21
9 Zurich 19 4 7 8 -12 19
10 Winterthur 18 5 4 9 -21 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zurich Winterthur
16′
🟨 Samir Ramizi
Fidan Aliti 🟨
31′
1–0 A. Tosin
S. Seiler
32′
39′
S. Ramizi 1–1
42′
🟨 Yannick Schmid
44′
🟨 Remo Arnold
Half-time 1–1
F. Rohner 🔁
↦ N. Boranijašević
46′
L. Kamberi 🔁
↦ F. Aliti
46′
46′
🔁 E. Abedini
↦ N. Burkart
Cheick Oumar Conde 🟨
56′
57′
🔁 S. Ballet
↦ S. Ramizi
62′
🟨 Granit Lekaj
67′
🔁 S. Ltaief
↦ R. Buess
67′
🔁 A. Gantenbein
↦ M. Gonçalves
Stephan Seiler 🟨
73′
R. Šimić 🔁
↦ A. Marchesano
74′
M. Hornschuh 🔁
↦ S. Seiler
81′
81′
🔁 F. Rodríguez
↦ M. Di Giusto
C. Ligue 🔁
↦ J. Okita
91′
93′
🟨 Samuel Ballet
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Zurich

3-1-4-2
25 Y. Brecher G
4 B. Omeragić D
24 N. Katić D
6 F. Aliti D
17 C. Condé M
19 N. Boranijašević M
33 S. Seiler M
10 A. Marchesano M
3 Adrián Guerrero M
15 A. Tosin F
11 J. Okita F
Bench (9)
23 F. Rohner
2 L. Kamberi
22 R. Šimić
16 M. Hornschuh
38 C. Ligue
18 D. Afriyie
31 M. Kryeziu
1 Ž. Kostadinović
32 S. Hodža

Coach: B. Henriksen

Winterthur

4-3-1-2
30 M. Kuster G
15 M. Gonçalves D
25 Y. Schmid D
23 G. Lekaj D
18 S. Diaby D
8 S. Ramizi M
16 R. Arnold M
99 N. Burkart M
10 M. Di Giusto M
11 J. Ardaiz F
9 R. Buess F
Bench (9)
77 E. Abedini
17 S. Ballet
24 S. Ltaief
19 A. Gantenbein
44 F. Rodríguez
14 T. Corbaz
27 A. Abaz
3 T. Schättin
5 R. Gelmi

Coach: B. Berner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Cibelli · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.