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Super League
Referee: S Wolfensberger
Sion
T U T S U
0–3
Full-time
Lugano
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sion Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Super League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 40%
32%
48%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
44%
40%
Both score Ø 54%
64%
44%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sion 7. · Lugano 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 26 18 5 3 +26 59
2 Young Boys 25 12 8 5 +25 44
3 Basel 25 11 11 3 +23 44
4 Lugano 25 12 3 10 -3 39
5 Servette 25 10 5 10 -4 35
6 St. Gallen 26 9 7 10 -2 34
7 Sion 25 8 6 11 -11 30
8 Grasshoppers 25 6 9 10 -1 27
9 Luzern 25 3 10 12 -20 19
10 Lausanne 25 2 6 17 -33 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sion Lugano
Loris Benito 🟨
23′
42′
M. Facchinetti 0–1
Half-time 0–2
46′
M. Bottani 0–2
49′
🟨 Numa Lavanchy
Arian Kabashi 🟨
56′
60′
Ž. Celar 0–3
S. Lovrić
Baltazar 🟥
64′
Kevin Fickentscher 🟨
65′
Giovanni Sio 🟨
68′
D. Cavaré 🔁
↦ A. Kabashi
74′
76′
🔁 I. Aliseda
↦ Ž. Celar
Adryan 🔁
↦ G. Sio
83′
G. Karlen 🔁
↦ M. Araz
83′
85′
🔁 M. Haile-Selassie
↦ M. Bottani
Jan Bamert 🟨
88′
89′
🔁 M. Valenzuela
↦ M. Facchinetti
90′
🔁 H. Mahmoud
↦ K. Rüegg
90′
🔁 A. Durrer
↦ J. Sabbatini
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Sion

4-4-2
18 K. Fickentscher G
28 G. Berardi D
32 L. Benito D
5 J. Bamert D
4 A. Kabashi D
52 Wesley M
7 L. Zuffi M
20 M. Araz M
8 Baltazar M
13 G. Sio F
17 F. Stojilković F
Bench (9)
97 D. Cavaré
10 Adryan
11 G. Karlen
21 D. Iapichino
23 M. Tosetti
1 T. Fayulu
77 S. Theler
25 T. Berdayes
2 J. Schmied

Coach: P. Tramezzani

Lugano

3-1-4-2
26 A. Saipi G
3 R. Ziegler D
5 M. Marić D
7 M. Facchinetti M
16 N. Lavanchy M
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio D
27 K. Rüegg M
24 S. Lovrić M
10 M. Bottani F
19 Ž. Celar F
Bench (9)
31 I. Aliseda
18 M. Haile-Selassie
17 M. Valenzuela
29 H. Mahmoud
8 A. Durrer
99 N. Muci
6 M. Amoura
58 S. Osigwe
21 Yuri

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Wolfensberger · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.