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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Sion
T U T U T
2–3
Full-time
Lugano
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sion Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Super League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
31%
44%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
56%
69%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
69%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
6 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sion 8. · Lugano 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 17 11 5 1 +27 38
2 Servette 16 6 7 3 +1 25
3 St. Gallen 16 7 3 6 +9 24
4 Lugano 16 7 2 7 +0 23
5 Basel 16 5 6 5 +4 21
6 Luzern 17 5 6 6 +0 21
7 Grasshoppers 17 5 5 7 -3 20
8 Sion 16 5 5 6 -6 20
9 Winterthur 16 4 4 8 -18 16
10 Zurich 17 2 7 8 -14 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sion Lugano
3′
M. Amoura 0–1
R. Steffen
Denis Will Poha 🟨
14′
1–1 W. Cyprien
24′
33′
R. Steffen 1–2
M. Amoura
36′
🔁 K. Hajrizi
↦ L. Mai
Musa Araz 🟨
39′
40′
🟨 Albian Hajdari
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 I. Aliseda
↦ M. Amoura
Wylan Cyprien 🟨
58′
Itaitinga 🔁
↦ G. Sio
61′
65′
🔁 J. Espinoza
↦ A. Hajdari
65′
🔁 H. Mahmoud
↦ R. Steffen
F. Stojilković 🔁
↦ M. Araz
68′
1–3 O. Doumbia
own goal
76′
81′
🔁 R. Macek
↦ M. Bottani
L. Zuffi 🔁
↦ W. Cyprien
86′
92′
🟨 Mohamed Haj Mahmoud
94′
Ž. Celar 1–4
R. Macek
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Sion

4-4-2
1 H. Lindner G
19 N. Lavanchy D
97 D. Cavaré D
2 J. Schmied D
3 R. Ziegler D
22 D. Poha M
14 A. Grgić M
20 M. Araz M
9 I. Chouaref M
13 G. Sio F
10 W. Cyprien F
Bench (9)
76 Itaitinga
17 F. Stojilković
7 L. Zuffi
44 A. Nsakala
33 K. Bua
18 K. Fickentscher
71 G. Richard
11 G. Karlen
15 J. Aguilar

Coach: F. Celestini

Lugano

4-2-3-1
58 S. Osigwe G
34 A. Arigoni D
15 L. Mai D
30 F. Daprelà D
5 A. Hajdari D
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Doumbia M
47 M. Amoura M
10 M. Bottani M
11 R. Steffen M
9 Ž. Celar F
Bench (9)
4 K. Hajrizi
31 I. Aliseda
6 J. Espinoza
29 H. Mahmoud
77 R. Macek
25 U. Bislimi
7 M. Facchinetti
13 S. Berbić
27 B. Babic

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Fähndrich · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.