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Super League
Referee: S Horisberger
Lugano
U U S U T
1–1
Full-time
St. Gallen
S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Super League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 35%
35%
35%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
54%
58%
Both score Ø 71%
73%
69%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
7 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 9
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 5. · St. Gallen 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 26 15 9 2 +41 54
2 Servette 27 9 13 5 +0 40
3 St. Gallen 26 9 8 9 +10 35
4 Basel 27 8 11 8 +4 35
5 Lugano 26 9 8 9 +1 35
6 Grasshoppers 26 9 7 10 -2 34
7 Luzern 26 8 9 9 +0 33
8 Zurich 27 6 12 9 -12 30
9 Sion 27 6 9 12 -18 27
10 Winterthur 26 6 8 12 -24 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano St. Gallen
Albian Hajdari 🟨
13′
1–0 R. Steffen
I. Aliseda
22′
36′
🔁 A. Vallçi
↦ M. Maglica
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 W. Geubbels
↦ G. Karlen
U. Bislimi 🔁
↦ B. Babic
56′
M. Facchinetti 🔁
↦ M. Valenzuela
59′
M. Bottani 🔁
↦ J. Espinoza
59′
61′
🟨 Lukas Görtler
Renato Steffen 🟨
63′
74′
🔁 C. Akolo
↦ J. Guillemenot
74′
🔁 A. Kräuchi
↦ P. Sutter
M. Amoura 🔁
↦ I. Aliseda
79′
82′
🔁 N. Ndombasi
↦ C. Witzig
85′
🟨 Albert Vallci
93′
🟨 Jordi Quintillà
Mohamed El Amine Amoura ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
94′
Mickaël Facchinetti 🟨
95′
95′
C. Akolo 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lugano

3-4-1-2
1 A. Saipi G
20 O. Doumbia D
4 K. Hajrizi D
5 A. Hajdari D
6 J. Espinoza M
14 J. Sabbatini M
77 R. Macek M
23 M. Valenzuela M
31 I. Aliseda F
27 B. Babic F
11 R. Steffen F
Bench (6)
25 U. Bislimi
7 M. Facchinetti
10 M. Bottani
47 M. Amoura
58 S. Osigwe
30 F. Daprelà

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
30 P. Sutter D
4 L. Stergiou D
5 M. Maglica D
33 I. Schmidt D
16 L. Görtler M
8 Jordi Quintillà M
37 C. Witzig M
23 G. Karlen M
22 E. Latte Lath F
9 J. Guillemenot F
Bench (9)
20 A. Vallçi
69 W. Geubbels
10 C. Akolo
29 A. Kräuchi
93 N. Ndombasi
27 R. Schneider
32 D. Jaćović
28 R. Alves
25 L. Watkowiak

Coach: P. Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.