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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Luzern
T T T U T
0–3
Full-time
Basel
S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,2
This season — Super League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 25%
6%
44%
Points per game
0,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 75%
78%
72%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
2,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
16 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 10. · Basel 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 19 13 4 2 +18 43
2 Young Boys 19 10 5 4 +22 35
3 Basel 18 8 9 1 +19 33
4 Lugano 19 9 3 7 +0 30
5 Servette 19 7 4 8 -2 25
6 Grasshoppers 18 5 8 5 +6 23
7 Sion 18 6 3 9 -11 21
8 St. Gallen 19 5 4 10 -13 19
9 Lausanne 19 2 6 11 -23 12
10 Luzern 18 1 8 9 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.