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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
Luzern
S U U U S
0–1
Full-time
Basel
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Super League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 30%
32%
27%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
45%
Both score Ø 62%
64%
59%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
7 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 4. · Basel 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 23 13 9 1 +35 48
2 Servette 22 8 10 4 +0 34
3 St. Gallen 22 9 5 8 +11 32
4 Luzern 22 7 9 6 +2 30
5 Lugano 22 8 6 8 +0 30
6 Basel 22 6 9 7 +4 27
7 Grasshoppers 22 6 6 10 -5 24
8 Zurich 22 5 9 8 -11 24
9 Winterthur 23 5 8 10 -22 23
10 Sion 22 5 7 10 -14 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Jan -23 Basel – Luzern 2–3 9. Nov -22 Luzern – Basel 0–2 24. Apr -22 Basel – Luzern 3–0 30. Jan -22 Luzern – Basel 0–3 28. Nov -21 Luzern – Basel 1–3

Match report

Luzern Basel
Pascal Loretz 🟨
28′
29′
⚽ F. Frei 0–1
45′
🟨 Sergio López
Half-time 0–1
Ismajl Beka 🟨
51′
52′
🟨 Andy Pelmard
54′
🔁 W. Burger
↦ F. Frei
D. Sorgić 🔁
↦ M. Diambou
59′
Asumah Abubakar 🔁
↦ P. Schürpf
59′
65′
🔁 J. Augustin
↦ A. Zeqiri
65′
🔁 D. Ndoye
↦ B. Fink
Denis Simani 🟨
67′
67′
🟨 Andy Diouf
Sofyan Chader 🟨
72′
75′
🟨 Wouter Burger
Sofyan Chader 🟨
77′
Sofyan Chader 🟥
77′
T. Klidjé 🔁
↦ Asumah Abubakar
82′
85′
🟨 Jean-Kévin Augustin
88′
🔁 A. Kade
↦ Sergio López
88′
🔁 Hugo Novoa
↦ L. Millar
B. Kimpioka 🔁
↦ M. Meyer
89′
94′
ℹ️ Hugo Novoa Ramos
VAR: Goal cancelled
96′
🟨 Marwin Hitz
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-1-2
38 P. Loretz G
20 P. Dorn D
5 D. Simani D
30 I. Beka D
13 M. Frýdek D
15 M. Diambou M
6 A. Jashari M
18 N. Beloko M
7 M. Meyer M
69 S. Chader F
11 P. Schürpf F
Bench (9)
9 D. Sorgić
21 Asumah Abubakar
17 T. Klidjé
77 B. Kimpioka
4 L. Jaquez
31 L. Emini
74 S. Ottiger
90 V. Vasić
2 M. Dräger

Coach: M. Frick

Basel

3-1-4-2
1 M. Hitz G
15 K. Adams D
21 A. Pelmard D
33 R. Calafiori D
20 F. Frei M
7 L. Millar M
19 D. Males M
8 A. Diouf M
22 Sergio López M
17 A. Zeqiri F
14 B. Fink F
Bench (9)
23 W. Burger
10 J. Augustin
27 D. Ndoye
30 A. Kade
90 Hugo Novoa
13 M. Salvi
18 E. Essiam
9 Z. Amdouni
28 H. Vogel

Coach: H. Vogel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Cibelli · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.