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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Basel
S S U U U
3–0
Full-time
Luzern
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Super League · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 30%
43%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
57%
53%
Both score Ø 70%
67%
73%
Average goals
3,4
3,1
Scored
2,1
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
19 Shots 29
8 Shots on target 9
5 Blocked shots 8
9 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 13
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 2. · Luzern 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 31 21 6 4 +31 69
2 Basel 30 13 14 3 +27 53
3 Young Boys 31 13 11 7 +25 50
4 Lugano 31 14 4 13 -6 46
5 St. Gallen 31 12 8 11 +4 44
6 Servette 31 12 5 14 -10 41
7 Sion 31 9 7 15 -20 34
8 Grasshoppers 30 7 11 12 -3 32
9 Luzern 30 5 12 13 -19 27
10 Lausanne 30 4 8 18 -29 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Jan -22 Luzern – Basel 0–3 28. Nov -21 Luzern – Basel 1–3 3. Oct -21 Basel – Luzern 1–1 10. Apr -21 Luzern – Basel 3–4 13. Mar -21 Basel – Luzern 4–1

Match report

Basel Luzern
1–0 V. Stocker ⚽
Tomás Tavares
3′
Valentin Stocker 🟨
4′
Tomás Tavares 🟨
18′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Grether
↦ M. Dräger
51′
🟨 Simon Grether
56′
🔁 F. Ugrinic
↦ S. Campo
56′
🔁 D. Sorgić
↦ Asumah Abubakar
F. Chalov 🔁
↦ S.Esposito
65′
P. Kasami 🔁
↦ M. Palacios
66′
66′
🔁 I. Ndiaye
↦ C. Gentner
66′
🔁 P. Schürpf
↦ M. Schulz
67′
🟨 Dejan Sorgic
2–0 V. Stocker ⚽
73′
3–0 F. Chalov ⚽
F. Frei
87′
Joelson Fernandes 🔁
↦ L. Millar
88′
S. Pavlović 🔁
↦ V. Stocker
88′
M. Lang 🔁
↦ Sergio López
88′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Basel

4-1-4-1
1 H. Lindner G
22 Sergio López D
21 A. Pelmard D
30 Tomás Tavares D
14 V. Stocker M
20 F. Frei D
23 W. Burger M
35 M. Palacios M
17 L. Millar M
27 D. Ndoye M
9 S.Esposito F
Bench (9)
99 F. Chalov
7 P. Kasami
96 Joelson Fernandes
15 S. Pavlović
5 M. Lang
11 Á. Szalai
13 Đ. Nikolić
19 D. Males
3 N. Katterbach

Coach: Guillermo Abascal

Luzern

4-3-1-2
32 M. Müller G
5 D. Simani D
2 M. Dräger D
34 S. Sidler D
46 M. Burch D
4 C. Gentner M
15 M. Schulz M
10 S. Campo M
30 A. Jashari M
27 M. Kvasina F
21 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (9)
17 S. Grether
19 F. Ugrinic
9 D. Sorgić
7 I. Ndiaye
11 P. Schürpf
13 M. Frýdek
20 N. Čumić
90 V. Vasić
16 V. Tasar

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

U Schnyder · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.