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Super League

Referee: S Horisberger

Lausanne

S U S U

0–1

Full-time

Lugano

S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,5

This season — Super League · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 45%

50%

40%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

75%

60%

Both score Ø 65%

50%

80%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,6

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

6 Shots 4

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lausanne 4. · Lugano 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	5	3	2	0	+3	11
2	St. Gallen	6	3	1	2	+0	10
3	Lugano	5	2	3	0	+2	9
4	Lausanne	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Basel	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Zurich	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Servette	4	1	1	2	-1	4
8	Sion	4	0	3	1	-1	3
9	Luzern	5	0	2	3	-3	2
10	Vaduz	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	3	3	0	0	+3	9
2	Lugano	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Lausanne	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	St. Gallen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Basel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Zurich	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Servette	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Luzern	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Sion	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Vaduz	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
2	Basel	3	1	0	2	+0	3
3	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-2	3
4	Lugano	2	0	2	0	+0	2
5	Lausanne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
6	Young Boys	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	Vaduz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
8	Sion	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	Servette	2	0	0	2	-2	0
10	Luzern	3	0	0	3	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.