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Super League
Referee: A Bieri
Vaduz
S U S T U
0–3
Full-time
Lugano
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vaduz Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — Super League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 23%
21%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
38%
33%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
54%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vaduz 10. · Lugano 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 23 14 8 1 +21 50
2 Basel 25 10 6 9 +2 36
3 Servette 24 9 7 8 -2 34
4 Zurich 25 9 6 10 +2 33
5 Luzern 25 8 7 10 +2 31
6 Lausanne 24 8 7 9 +2 31
7 St. Gallen 24 8 7 9 -1 31
8 Lugano 24 6 12 6 -1 30
9 Sion 24 5 10 9 -9 25
10 Vaduz 24 5 8 11 -16 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Feb -21 Lugano – Vaduz 1–1 17. Oct -20 Vaduz – Lugano 1–1

Match report

Vaduz Lugano
3′
⚽ J. Ardaiz 0–1
Adrià Guerrero
24′
⚽ J. Ardaiz 0–2
N. Lavanchy
26′
🟨 Ákos Kecskés
Half-time 0–2
M. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ C. Gasser
46′
56′
🔁 J. Sabbatini
↦ Asumah Abubakar
T. Çiçek 🔁
↦ D. Đokić
65′
E. Ibrisimovic 🔁
↦ F. Rahimi
65′
Tunahan Cicek 🟨
67′
68′
🔁 A. Gerndt
↦ J. Ardaiz
69′
⚽ M. Marić 0–3
R. Ziegler
N. Hug 🔁
↦ L. Obexer
71′
Y. Gomes 🔁
↦ G. Lüchinger
75′
77′
🔁 M. Čovilo
↦ O. Custodio
77′
🔁 R. Macek
↦ M. Bottani
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Vaduz

3-5-1-1
1 B. Büchel G
4 D. Simani D
21 P. Dorn M
27 L. Obexer M
6 F. Rahimi D
24 C. Gasser M
5 J. Schmied D
14 M. Gajić M
30 G. Lüchinger M
19 D. Đokić F
7 M. Di Giusto F
Bench (7)
10 M. Coulibaly
11 T. Çiçek
37 E. Ibrisimovic
22 N. Hug
35 Y. Gomes
9 M. Sutter
18 J. Ospelt

Coach: M. Frick

Lugano

3-4-1-2
46 N. Baumann G
33 R. Ziegler D
5 M. Marić D
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 Á. Kecskés D
3 Adrià Guerrero M
20 O. Custodio M
24 S. Lovric M
10 M. Bottani F
23 J. Ardaiz F
17 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (7)
14 J. Sabbatini
19 A. Gerndt
6 M. Čovilo
77 R. Macek
25 M. Ošs
91 M. Facchinetti
58 S. Osigwe

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Bieri · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.