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Super League
Referee: F San
Servette
S S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Lugano
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Super League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
46%
38%
Both score Ø 58%
62%
54%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Servette 3. · Lugano 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 25 15 9 1 +25 54
2 Lausanne 26 10 7 9 +4 37
3 Servette 26 10 7 9 -2 37
4 Lugano 26 8 12 6 +3 36
5 Basel 26 10 6 10 +1 36
6 Zurich 27 9 7 11 -2 34
7 St. Gallen 27 8 9 10 -2 33
8 Luzern 27 8 8 11 +1 32
9 Sion 26 5 11 10 -10 26
10 Vaduz 26 6 8 12 -18 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Servette Lugano
43′
🟨 Olivier Custodio
Half-time 0–0
53′
🔁 M. Facchinetti
↦ Adrià Guerrero
64′
🔁 C. Lungoyi
↦ J. Ardaiz
66′
O. Custodio 0–1
M. Facchinetti
K. Koné 🔁
↦ A. Schalk
71′
A. Mendy 🔁
↦ G. Ondoua
71′
79′
🔁 A. Gerndt
↦ Asumah Abubakar
79′
🔁 R. Macek
↦ M. Bottani
R. Azevedo 🔁
↦ A. Sauthier
82′
1–1 M. Stevanović
85′
B. Cespedes 🔁
↦ T. Valls
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Servette

4-3-3
32 J. Frick G
3 G. Clichy D
2 A. Sauthier D
23 V. Sasso D
4 S. Rouiller D
9 M. Stevanović F
15 T. Valls M
29 G. Ondoua M
8 T. Cognat M
10 A. Schalk F
25 G. Kyei F
Bench (7)
18 K. Koné
24 A. Mendy
22 R. Azevedo
5 B. Cespedes
33 N. Vouilloz
1 J. Kiassumbua
19 Y. Severin

Coach: A. Geiger

Lugano

4-3-1-2
46 N. Baumann G
33 R. Ziegler D
5 M. Marić D
16 N. Lavanchy D
3 Adrià Guerrero D
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio M
24 S. Lovric M
10 M. Bottani M
23 J. Ardaiz F
17 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (7)
91 M. Facchinetti
8 C. Lungoyi
19 A. Gerndt
77 R. Macek
22 S. Guidotti
58 S. Osigwe
30 F. Daprelà

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F San · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.