Conference League
Referee: D Nikolic
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒
Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Paide
SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
25%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,0
6,0
Scored
1,5
4,5
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,0
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 1–1
26%
Possession
74%
8
Shots
22
2
Shots on target
8
3
Blocked shots
6
4
Goalkeeper saves
1
4
Corners
5
0
Offside
1
13
Free kicks against
12
1
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Match report
Paide
SK Rapid
ℹ️
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
VAR: Penalty confirmed
⚽
B. Bolla
0–1
1–1 D. Luts
⚽
Half-time 1–1
Oskar Hoim
🟨
🟨
Bendegúz Bolla
H. Ojamaa
🔁
↦ Daniel Cabral
🔁
P. Dahl
↦ M. Tilio
H. Anier
🔁
↦ A. Badamosi
🔁
Y. Demir
↦ T. Gulliksen
🔁
N. Bajlicz
↦ L. Schaub
🔁
M. Haidara
↦ N. Wurmbrand
Andrade
🔁
↦ N. Baranov
M. Jobarteh
🔁
↦ D. Luts
⚽
M. Haidara
1–2
⚽
P. Dahl
1–3
B. Bolla
🔁
E. Roka
↦ B. Bolla
⚽
M. Haidara
1–4
T. Adamsen
Full-time 1–4
Line-ups
Paide
4-2-3-1
99
E. Jarju
G
7
E. Tur
D
27
N. Baranov
D
3
Victor Hugo
D
2
M. Lilander
D
10
M. Miller
M
28
O. Hoim
M
77
D. Luts
M
11
M. P. Sohna
6
Daniel Cabral
M
30
A. Badamosi
F
Bench (12)
12
M. Meerits
56
M. Sapp
8
H. Ojamaa
44
K. Kait
16
A. Surogin
17
P. A. Cham
9
H. Anier
15
H. Ojamaa
20
K. Piht
21
R. Smirnov
4
Andrade
14
M. Jobarteh
Coach: Tarmo Kink
SK Rapid
4-1-3-2
1
N. Hedl
G
N. Hedl
G
77
B. Bolla
D
B. Bolla
D
55
N. Cvetkovic
D
N. Cvetkovic
D
6
S. Raux-Yao
D
S. Raux-Yao
D
23
J. Auer
D
J. Auer
D
18
M. Seidl
M
M. Seidl
M
15
N. Wurmbrand
M
N. Wurmbrand
M
21
L. Schaub
M
L. Schaub
M
7
M. Tilio
M
M. Tilio
M
8
T. Adamsen
F
T. Adamsen
F
17
T. Gulliksen
F
T. Gulliksen
F
Bench (12)
25
P. Gartler
51
B. Goschl
22
Y. Demir
4
J. M. Scholler
10
P. Dahl
61
F. Demir
2
E. Roka
47
A. Groller
38
J. Horn
9
E. Kara
30
N. Bajlicz
43
M. Haidara
Coach: Johannes Thorup
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.