Conference League
Referee: D Shurman
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒
Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
SK Rapid
Paide
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,2
Scored
3,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
100%
40%
Points per game
3,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
100%
40%
Both score Ø 80%
100%
60%
Average goals
5,7
2,6
Scored
4,3
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,2
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 1–0
65%
Possession
35%
23
Shots
2
7
Shots on target
1
5
Blocked shots
1
1
Goalkeeper saves
5
5
Corners
1
4
Offside
3
11
Free kicks against
3
2
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Recent head-to-head meetings
6. Aug -26 Paide – SK Rapid 1–4Match report
SK Rapid
Paide
Jakob Schöller
🟨
Marco Tilio
ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
1–0 M. Tilio
⚽
N. Wurmbrand
Half-time 1–0
🔁
R. Smirnov
↦ M. Miller
T. Adamsen
🔁
↦ M. Tilio
P. Dahl
🔁
↦ M. Haidara
N. Bajlicz
🔁
↦ R. Amane
🔁
H. Ojamaa
↦ M. P. Sohna
🔁
E. Tur
↦ H. Ojamaa
Louis Schaub
🟨
S. Raux-Yao
🔁
↦ J. M. Scholler
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
🟨
Henri Anier
2–0 L. Schaub
⚽
M. Seidl
🔁
↦ L. Schaub
🔁
P. A. Cham
↦ D. Luts
🔁
K. Piht
↦ H. Anier
Full-time 2–0
Line-ups
SK Rapid
4-4-2
1
N. Hedl
G
N. Hedl
G
2
E. Roka
D
E. Roka
D
55
N. Cvetkovic
D
N. Cvetkovic
D
4
J. M. Scholler
D
J. M. Scholler
D
23
J. Auer
D
J. Auer
D
15
N. Wurmbrand
M
N. Wurmbrand
M
29
R. Amane
M
R. Amane
M
21
L. Schaub
M
L. Schaub
M
43
M. Haidara
M
M. Haidara
M
7
M. Tilio
F
M. Tilio
F
17
T. Gulliksen
F
T. Gulliksen
F
Bench (12)
25
P. Gartler
50
L. Orgler
22
Y. Demir
8
T. Adamsen
10
P. Dahl
61
F. Demir
38
J. Horn
77
B. Bolla
9
E. Kara
18
M. Seidl
6
S. Raux-Yao
30
N. Bajlicz
Coach: Johannes Thorup
Paide
4-3-3
99
E. Jarju
G
15
H. Ojamaa
D
27
N. Baranov
D
3
Victor Hugo
D
2
M. Lilander
D
11
M. P. Sohna
28
O. Hoim
M
10
M. Miller
M
77
D. Luts
F
9
H. Anier
F
6
Daniel Cabral
F
Bench (12)
12
M. Meerits
8
H. Ojamaa
19
S. Luts
7
E. Tur
44
K. Kait
16
A. Surogin
30
A. Badamosi
17
P. A. Cham
20
K. Piht
21
R. Smirnov
4
Andrade
14
M. Jobarteh
Coach: Tarmo Kink
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.