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Bundesliga

Referee: Florian Jager

Sturm Graz

S U T S T

1–0

Full-time

Altach

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Altach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,53 xG 1,44

53% Possession 47%

17 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

12 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 4. · Altach 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	3	3	0	0	+8	+5.9	9
2	SK Rapid	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.6	6
3	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	1	1	+2	-2.2	4
4	Sturm Graz	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.7	4
5	Salzburg	2	1	1	0	+1	+5.8	4
6	A. Lustenau	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
7	Altach	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.6	3
8	Grazer AK	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.4	3
9	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.4	1
10	Ried	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.1	1
11	Hartberg	2	0	0	2	-3	-4.5	0
12	Austria Vienna	2	0	0	2	-5	-5.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.6	6
2	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	1	0	+3	-0.4	4
3	A. Lustenau	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
4	Altach	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
5	Grazer AK	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
6	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.2	3
8	Tirol	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
9	Ried	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
10	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	-2	-3.2	0
11	Hartberg	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.7	4
2	LASK	1	1	0	0	+2	+3.2	3
3	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
4	Salzburg	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.6	1
5	Ried	2	0	1	1	-3	+0.3	1
6	A. Lustenau	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
7	Wolfsberger AC	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
8	Altach	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
9	Hartberg	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.2	0
10	Tirol	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
11	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
12	Grazer AK	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.