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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Wolfgang Haslberger
Osnabruck
T T S T T
0–3
Full-time
Magdeburg
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osnabruck Magdeburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
7,0
7,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
4,0
6,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,97 xG 1,72
40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 10
0 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osnabruck 14. · Magdeburg 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Braunschweig 2 1 0 1 +4 +2.5 3
2 Nurnberg 1 1 0 0 +3 +0.3 3
3 Cottbus 1 1 0 0 +2 -1.7 3
4 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.7 3
5 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
6 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.4 3
7 Bochum 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.1 3
8 Holstein Kiel 2 0 2 0 +0 +0.2 2
9 St Pauli 2 0 2 0 +0 +0.4 2
10 Darmstadt 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.7 1
11 Greuther Furth 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.1 1
12 Wolfsburg 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.4 1
13 Kaiserslautern 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.4 1
14 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.7 0
15 Bielefeld 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.2 0
16 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -2 +1.7 0
17 Dresden 1 0 0 1 -3 -0.3 0
18 Magdeburg 1 0 0 1 -5 -2.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osnabruck Magdeburg
24′
A. Nollenberger 0–1
T. Muller
35′
A. Nollenberger 0–2
B. Atik
Half-time 0–2
K. Faber 🔁
↦ T. Lesueur
46′
L. Munst 🔁
↦ D. Kopacz
46′
B. Riesselmann 🔁
↦ I. Badjie
46′
49′
ℹ️ Mateusz Żukowski
VAR: Goal cancelled
67′
🟨 Pierre Nadjombe
69′
E. Iyoha 0–3
L. Hyrylainen
71′
🔁 R. Tachie
↦ P. Nadjombe
Konrad Faber 🟨
77′
B. Henning 🔁
↦ B. Jacobsen
78′
83′
🔁 E. Dzogovic
↦ A. Nollenberger
83′
🔁 T. Reitz
↦ L. Mergner
L. Opitz 🔁
↦ P. Kammerbauer
88′
89′
🔁 P. Jaeckel
↦ L. Hyrylainen
89′
🔁 M. Baars
↦ B. Atik
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Osnabruck

3-4-3
32 J. Krumrey G
27 R. Fabinski D
24 J. Muller D
25 N. Wiemann D
31 P. Kammerbauer M
26 F. Wagner M
15 B. Jacobsen M
23 T. Lesueur M
29 D. Kopacz F
11 R. Meissner F
10 I. Badjie F
Bench (9)
1 N. Sauter
20 T. Janotta
28 K. Faber
18 L. Bornschein
8 L. Munst
6 B. Henning
19 L. Opitz
17 L. Raimund
22 B. Riesselmann

Coach: Timo Schultz

Magdeburg

4-3-3
1 D. Reimann G
28 P. Nadjombe D
5 T. Muller D
3 A. Garcia MacNulty D
17 A. Nollenberger D
21 F. Michel M
38 L. Hyrylainen M
33 L. Mergner M
8 E. Iyoha F
22 M. Zukowski F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (8)
30 N. Kruth
24 T. Chahed
6 P. Jaeckel
4 E. Dzogovic
14 T. Reitz
29 R. Tachie
35 M. Baars
20 K. Manthey

Coach: Petrik Sander

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,47
U
3,58
B ✓
2,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,35
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.