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Championship
Referee: Oliver Langford
Stoke
T T T T S
1–2
Full-time
Swansea
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Swansea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,65 xG 0,62
41% Possession 59%
6 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Stoke Swansea
1–0 E. Bocat
T. Rigo
10′
22′
J. Opoku 1–1
Z. Vipotnik
Luke Graham 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–1
M. Talovierov 🔁
↦ B. Lawal
46′
53′
🟨 Filip Lissah
55′
🔁 J. Key
↦ F. Lissah
65′
🔁 Eom Ji-Sung
↦ M. K. Yeo
65′
🔁 M. Widell
↦ E. Just
65′
🔁 A. Idah
↦ Z. Vipotnik
66′
A. Idah 1–2
J. Tymon
D. Soumare 🔁
↦ S. Ingelsson
70′
Bae Jun-Ho 🔁
↦ T. Rigo
70′
R. Bozenik 🔁
↦ S. Gallagher
70′
84′
🔁 L. Walta
↦ J. Fulton
86′
🟨 Melker Widell
91′
🟨 Josh Tymon
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Stoke

4-2-3-1
1 V. Johansson G
16 B. Wilmot D
18 B. Lawal
5 L. Graham D
17 E. Bocat D
8 E. Galbraith M
6 S. Ingelsson M
42 M. Manhoef M
19 T. Rigo M
7 S. Thomas M
20 S. Gallagher F
Bench (9)
24 J. Griffiths
43 F. Anderson
23 B. Gibson
40 M. Talovierov
4 B. Pearson
27 D. Soumare
58 T. Martin
10 Bae Jun-Ho
9 R. Bozenik

Coach: Mark Robins

Swansea

4-1-4-1
22 L. Vigouroux G
26 F. Lissah D
5 B. Cabango D
23 S. Welsh D
14 J. Tymon D
4 J. Fulton M
30 J. Opoku
8 E. Just M
6 M. Stamenic M
49 M. K. Yeo M
9 Z. Vipotnik F
Bench (9)
1 A. Fisher
50 C. Heywood
2 J. Key
20 T. Parente
10 Eom Ji-Sung
7 M. Widell
21 L. Walta
33 A. Idah
35 Ronald

Coach: Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,41
U
3,30
B ✓
2,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver Langford · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.