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Championship
Referee: Lewis Smith
Bristol City
T U T S T
0–2
Full-time
Millwall
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Millwall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,52 xG 3,40
34% Possession 66%
8 Shots 24
0 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 11
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Dec -25 Millwall – Bristol City 2–1 6. Dec -25 Bristol City – Millwall 0–1 4. Mar -25 Millwall – Bristol City 0–2 17. Aug -24 Bristol City – Millwall 4–3 1. Jan -24 Bristol City – Millwall 0–1

Match report

Bristol City Millwall
15′
🟨 Josh Coburn
Adam Randell 🟨
23′
29′
🔁 K. Lisbie
↦ F. Azeez
Adam Randell 🟨
36′
Adam Randell 🟥
36′
41′
⚽ J. Coburn 0–1
45′
🟨 Jenson Metcalfe
Half-time 0–1
J. Williams 🔁
↦ Y. Hirakawa
46′
50′
⚽ J. Coburn 0–2
J. Metcalfe
R. Cardines 🔁
↦ L. Eissat
56′
J. Wallace 🔁
↦ D. Ballard
64′
E. Riis 🔁
↦ S. Greenwood
64′
S. Bell 🔁
↦ L. Tolaj
64′
64′
🔁 L. Cundle
↦ T. Arconte
64′
🔁 M. Sykes
↦ J. Metcalfe
82′
🔁 D. Kelly
↦ Z. Sturge
83′
🔁 L. Dykes
↦ J. Coburn
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Bristol City

4-2-3-1
1 S. Tickle G
19 G. Tanner D
16 R. Dickie D
5 R. Atkinson D
2 L. Eissat D
12 J. Knight M
4 A. Randell M
7 Y. Hirakawa M
23 D. Ballard M
20 S. Greenwood M
9 L. Tolaj F
Bench (9)
40 B. Collins
38 N. Eile
21 R. Cardines
8 J. Williams
10 S. Twine
27 G. Yah
17 J. Wallace
18 E. Riis
11 S. Bell

Coach: Roy Hodgson

Millwall

4-3-3
1 L. Jensen G
18 R. Leonard D
6 C. Taylor D
5 J. Cooper D
3 Z. Sturge D
14 J. Metcalfe M
24 C. De Norre M
10 C. Neghli M
11 F. Azeez F
19 J. Coburn F
7 T. Arconte F
Bench (9)
15 M. Crocombe
23 D. Batth
12 E. Baggott
25 L. Cundle
17 M. Sykes
16 D. Kelly
13 L. Dykes
22 K. Lisbie
31 R. Bangura-Williams

Coach: Alex Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,59
🔒
U
3,37
🔒
B ✓
2,63
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,91
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,83
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Lewis Smith · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.