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Bundesliga

Referee: A Untergasser

Sturm Graz

T S S T U

1–0

Full-time

Altach

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Altach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 44%

63%

25%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

44%

Both score Ø 41%

50%

31%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

23 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

10 Corners 1

4 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Altach 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	17	12	3	2	+24	39
2	Sturm Graz	16	10	4	2	+15	34
3	LASK	17	9	5	3	+10	32
4	Hartberg	17	8	5	4	+7	29
5	A. Klagenfurt	17	6	8	3	+0	26
6	SK Rapid	17	6	6	5	+12	24
7	Wolfsberger AC	17	6	5	6	-1	23
8	Austria Vienna	17	5	6	6	+0	21
9	BW Linz	17	4	5	8	-11	17
10	Altach	16	4	4	8	-10	16
11	Tirol	17	3	2	12	-14	11
12	A. Lustenau	17	0	3	14	-32	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	8	6	2	0	+10	20
2	Salzburg	8	6	0	2	+10	18
3	Sturm Graz	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	Hartberg	9	5	2	2	+1	17
5	Wolfsberger AC	8	4	1	3	+2	13
6	Austria Vienna	8	2	5	1	+2	11
7	BW Linz	9	2	5	2	-2	11
8	A. Klagenfurt	9	2	5	2	-3	11
9	SK Rapid	9	2	4	3	+2	10
10	Altach	8	3	1	4	-1	10
11	Tirol	8	1	1	6	-6	4
12	A. Lustenau	9	0	0	9	-23	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	9	6	3	0	+14	21
2	Sturm Graz	8	5	2	1	+7	17
3	A. Klagenfurt	8	4	3	1	+3	15
4	SK Rapid	8	4	2	2	+10	14
5	Hartberg	8	3	3	2	+6	12
6	LASK	9	3	3	3	+0	12
7	Austria Vienna	9	3	1	5	-2	10
8	Wolfsberger AC	9	2	4	3	-3	10
9	Tirol	9	2	1	6	-8	7
10	BW Linz	8	2	0	6	-9	6
11	Altach	8	1	3	4	-9	6
12	A. Lustenau	8	0	3	5	-9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.