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Bundesliga
Referee: D Pfister
Salzburg
S T T T U
4–0
Full-time
Hartberg
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 34%
38%
29%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
46%
43%
Both score Ø 59%
46%
71%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%
20 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 7. · Hartberg 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 15 10 3 2 +21 33
2 Austria Vienna 15 9 3 3 +9 30
3 SK Rapid 15 7 6 2 +5 27
4 Wolfsberger AC 15 7 2 6 +7 23
5 LASK 15 6 2 7 -1 20
6 BW Linz 15 6 2 7 -2 20
7 Salzburg 13 5 4 4 +0 19
8 Hartberg 14 4 5 5 -1 17
9 Tirol 15 4 4 7 -4 16
10 A. Klagenfurt 14 4 3 7 -17 15
11 Grazer AK 15 2 6 7 -9 12
12 Altach 15 2 4 9 -8 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Nov -24 Hartberg – Salzburg 1–1 12. May -24 Hartberg – Salzburg 1–5 17. Mar -24 Salzburg – Hartberg 5–1 25. Nov -23 Salzburg – Hartberg 3–2 20. Aug -23 Hartberg – Salzburg 1–5

Match report

Salzburg Hartberg
28′
🟨 Raphael Sallinger
Oscar Gloukh ❌
penalty missed
29′
1–0 N. Capaldo ⚽
34′
2–0 O. Gloukh ⚽
P. Ratkov
36′
37′
🟨 Mateo Karamatić
Half-time 3–0
3–0 N. Capaldo ⚽
D. Nene
50′
Mads Bidstrup 🟨
52′
53′
🟨 Fabian Wilfinger
57′
🟨 Donis Avdijaj
58′
🔁 T. Kainz
↦ Y. Diarra
J. Gadou 🔁
↦ K. Piątkowski
62′
M. Yeo 🔁
↦ O. Gloukh
63′
Stefan Bajčetić 🔁
↦ M. Bidstrup
63′
A. Daghim 🔁
↦ D. Nene
63′
72′
🟨 Benjamin Markuš
72′
🔁 F. Demir
↦ J. Heil
72′
🔁 N. Amadin
↦ M. Hoffmann
72′
🔁 B. Hardley
↦ M. Karamatić
4–0 A. Daghim ⚽
P. Ratkov
75′
T. Kawamura 🔁
↦ M. Diambou
77′
79′
🔁 J. Karner
↦ D. Avdijaj
Daouda Guindo 🟨
82′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-2-3-1
24 A. Schlager G
7 N. Capaldo D
91 K. Piątkowski D
6 S. Baidoo D
29 D. Guindo D
18 M. Bidstrup M
15 M. Diambou M
10 B. Clark M
30 O. Gloukh M
45 D. Nene M
21 P. Ratkov F
Bench (7)
23 J. Gadou
49 M. Yeo
8 Stefan Bajčetić
28 A. Daghim
16 T. Kawamura
92 S. Hamzić
52 C. Zawieschitzky

Coach: P. Lijnders

Hartberg

5-3-2
1 R. Sallinger G
28 J. Heil D
18 F. Wilfinger D
14 P. Komposch D
6 M. Karamatić D
20 M. Pfeifer D
5 Y. Diarra M
4 B. Markuš M
10 D. Avdijaj M
22 M. Hoffmann
9 P. Mijić F
Bench (7)
23 T. Kainz
61 F. Demir
29 N. Amadin
2 B. Hardley
17 J. Karner
11 M. Fillafer
21 L. Marić

Coach: M. Karner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Pfister · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.