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Bundesliga

Referee: W Altmann

Salzburg

S S S U S

0–1

Full-time

BW Linz

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg BW Linz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

4,3

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

0,7

2,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

86%

14%

Points per game

2,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

71%

Average goals

3,1

4,1

Scored

2,6

1,4

Conceded

0,6

2,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

73% Possession 27%

19 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salzburg 1. · BW Linz 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	7	6	1	0	+14	19
2	Sturm Graz	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	LASK	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Hartberg	7	3	2	2	-2	11
5	A. Klagenfurt	7	2	4	1	+3	10
6	SK Rapid	7	2	3	2	+6	9
7	Altach	7	2	2	3	-3	8
8	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	4	2	-3	7
9	Austria Vienna	7	1	2	4	-6	5
10	Tirol	7	1	2	4	-7	5
11	BW Linz	7	1	2	4	-9	5
12	A. Lustenau	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Sturm Graz	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	SK Rapid	4	1	2	1	+3	5
5	Wolfsberger AC	4	1	1	2	-3	4
6	Hartberg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
7	Altach	3	1	0	2	-2	3
8	A. Klagenfurt	3	0	2	1	-2	2
9	Austria Vienna	3	0	2	1	-3	2
10	BW Linz	3	0	2	1	-5	2
11	Tirol	3	0	1	2	-4	1
12	A. Lustenau	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Sturm Graz	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	A. Klagenfurt	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Hartberg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Altach	4	1	2	1	-1	5
6	SK Rapid	3	1	1	1	+3	4
7	LASK	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Tirol	4	1	1	2	-3	4
9	Wolfsberger AC	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Austria Vienna	4	1	0	3	-3	3
11	BW Linz	4	1	0	3	-4	3
12	A. Lustenau	3	0	2	1	-2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.