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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Nyberg

Degerfors

T S T S T

1–2

Full-time

Malmo FF

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 48%

30%

65%

Points per game

1,0

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

61%

70%

Both score Ø 48%

52%

43%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,1

Conceded

2,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,20 xG 2,02

40% Possession 60%

7 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 9

4 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Degerfors 15. · Malmo FF 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	23	15	4	4	+29	+5.1	49
2	Elfsborg	23	15	3	5	+25	+4.6	48
3	Hacken	23	15	2	6	+26	+1.4	47
4	Djurgarden	23	12	4	7	+7	+3.1	40
5	Hammarby	23	10	5	8	+1	+2.3	35
6	Norrkoping	23	10	4	9	+5	+5.0	34
7	Mjallby	23	10	4	9	+0	-5.2	34
8	Kalmar	23	9	6	8	-4	-3.4	33
9	Varnamo	23	10	2	11	+0	+1.4	32
10	Halmstad	23	8	5	10	-15	-2.9	29
11	Goteborg	23	6	8	9	-2	-1.9	26
12	Brommapojkarna	23	8	2	13	-9	-2.2	26
13	AIK	23	6	7	10	-4	+1.3	25
14	Sirius	23	6	5	12	-1	+5.4	23
15	Degerfors	23	7	2	14	-27	-6.7	23
16	Varberg	23	3	5	15	-31	-7.5	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	12	11	0	1	+24	-0.2	33
2	Djurgarden	12	9	1	2	+11	+2.8	28
3	Malmo FF	12	8	3	1	+20	+2.1	27
4	Elfsborg	12	8	2	2	+16	+0.5	26
5	Hammarby	11	8	1	2	+8	+2.2	25
6	Goteborg	12	5	3	4	+8	-0.0	18
7	Kalmar	11	5	3	3	-1	-1.5	18
8	Norrkoping	12	5	2	5	+1	-0.0	17
9	Degerfors	12	5	2	5	-2	-0.6	17
10	Halmstad	11	4	3	4	-5	-2.3	15
11	AIK	11	3	5	3	+2	+1.5	14
12	Sirius	12	4	1	7	+4	+6.4	13
13	Brommapojkarna	11	4	1	6	-2	-0.1	13
14	Varnamo	11	4	1	6	-2	+1.6	13
15	Mjallby	11	3	3	5	-2	-5.3	12
16	Varberg	11	1	3	7	-17	+0.3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	11	7	1	3	+9	+4.0	22
2	Malmo FF	11	7	1	3	+9	+3.0	22
3	Mjallby	12	7	1	4	+2	+0.1	22
4	Varnamo	12	6	1	5	+2	-0.2	19
5	Norrkoping	11	5	2	4	+4	+5.0	17
6	Kalmar	12	4	3	5	-3	-1.9	15
7	Hacken	11	4	2	5	+2	+1.7	14
8	Halmstad	12	4	2	6	-10	-0.6	14
9	Brommapojkarna	12	4	1	7	-7	-2.1	13
10	Djurgarden	11	3	3	5	-4	+0.3	12
11	AIK	12	3	2	7	-6	-0.2	11
12	Sirius	11	2	4	5	-5	-1.0	10
13	Hammarby	12	2	4	6	-7	+0.2	10
14	Goteborg	11	1	5	5	-10	-1.8	8
15	Varberg	12	2	2	8	-14	-7.8	8
16	Degerfors	11	2	0	9	-25	-6.2	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.