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Taça de Portugal

Trofense

S T

0–1

Full-time

Pevidem

S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trofense Pevidem

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,5

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rebordosa	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+13	3
3	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+10	3
4	Amora	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Valadares Gaia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Sandinenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Florgrade	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Quarteirense SAD	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Montalegre	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Ribeirão	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Alqueidão da Serra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Castrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	União Micaelense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Tocha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Fabril Barreiro	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Sanjoanense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Os Limianos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Paredes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Pêro Pinheiro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Peniche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
49	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
76	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
77	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
78	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
79	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
80	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
81	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+13	3
2	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+10	3
3	Amora	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Valadares Gaia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Florgrade	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Alqueidão da Serra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Castrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	União Micaelense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Os Limianos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Pêro Pinheiro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Peniche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
24	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Tocha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
40	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
41	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Sandinenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Tocha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Quarteirense SAD	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Montalegre	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Ribeirão	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Fabril Barreiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Sanjoanense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Paredes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
41	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
42	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
43	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.