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Champions League
Referee: H Meler
Benfica
T S S S S
0–2
Full-time
Salzburg
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,7
2,7
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,48 xG 2,97
56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Benfica Salzburg
Anatoliy Trubin 🟨
2′
António Silva 🟥
13′
15′
⚽ R. Šimić 0–1
Morato 🔁
↦ João Mário
16′
21′
🟨 Lucas Gourna-Douath
Half-time 0–2
51′
⚽ O. Gloukh 0–2
R. Šimić
Rafa Silva 🟨
54′
58′
🟨 Samson Baidoo
59′
🔁 S. Koïta
↦ K. Konaté
67′
🟨 Roko Šimić
Nicolás Otamendi 🟨
69′
71′
🔁 P. Ratkov
↦ R. Šimić
71′
🔁 O. Solet
↦ S. Baidoo
71′
🔁 L. Sučić
↦ O. Gloukh
Chiquinho 🔁
↦ O. Kökçü
72′
David Neres 🔁
↦ Á. Di María
72′
C. Tengstedt 🔁
↦ P. Musa
83′
Tiago Gouveia 🔁
↦ Rafa
83′
89′
🔁 K. Piątkowski
↦ S. Pavlović
91′
🟨 Sekou Koita
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Benfica

4-2-3-1
1 A. Trubin G
6 A. Bah D
4 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
8 F. Aursnes D
87 João Neves M
10 O. Kökçü M
11 Á. Di María M
27 Rafa M
20 João Mário M
33 P. Musa F
Bench (12)
5 Morato
22 Chiquinho
7 David Neres
19 C. Tengstedt
47 Tiago Gouveia
38 João Victor
45 L. Kokubo
9 Arthur Cabral
13 D. Jurásek
44 Tomás Araújo
61 Florentino
24 Samuel Soares

Coach: R. Schmidt

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
24 A. Schlager G
70 A. Dedić D
6 S. Baidoo D
31 S. Pavlović D
3 A. Terzić D
18 M. Bidstrup M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
14 M. Kjærgaard M
30 O. Gloukh M
19 K. Konaté F
23 R. Šimić F
Bench (12)
20 S. Koïta
21 P. Ratkov
22 O. Solet
10 L. Sučić
4 K. Piątkowski
32 A. Forson
8 D. Kameri
1 N. Mantl
7 N. Capaldo
39 L. Morgalla
17 A. Ulmer
45 N. Dorgeles

Coach: G. Struber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.