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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
St Mirren
S S U U S
1–0
Full-time
Hearts
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
60%
0%
Both score Ø 40%
80%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,2
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
13 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 2. · Hearts 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 6 5 1 0 +11 16
2 St Mirren 5 3 2 0 +3 11
3 Motherwell 5 3 1 1 +2 10
4 Rangers 5 3 0 2 +6 9
5 Hearts 5 2 1 2 +2 7
6 Ross County 5 2 1 2 -1 7
7 Livingston 6 1 3 2 -6 6
8 Kilmarnock 5 1 2 2 -1 5
9 Dundee 5 1 2 2 -3 5
10 Hibernian 5 1 1 3 -1 4
11 Aberdeen 5 0 2 3 -6 2
12 ST Johnstone 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. May -23 St Mirren – Hearts 2–2 8. Apr -23 Hearts – St Mirren 0–2 13. Jan -23 Hearts – St Mirren 1–0 7. Jan -23 St Mirren – Hearts 1–1 26. Feb -22 St Mirren – Hearts 0–2

Match report

St Mirren Hearts
1–0 R. Strain ⚽
S. Tanser
7′
Keanu Baccus 🟨
24′
24′
🟨 Kye Rowles
Toyosi Olusanya 🟨
25′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🔁 T. Sibbick
↦ N. Atkinson
M. Mandron 🔁
↦ T. Olusanya
60′
A. Greive 🔁
↦ C. McMenamin
60′
C. Boyd-Munce 🔁
↦ K. Baccus
61′
64′
🔁 O. Offiah
↦ K. Rowles
65′
🔁 A. Forrest
↦ B. Baningime
C. Dunne 🔁
↦ R. Taylor
76′
76′
🔁 J. Grant
↦ C. Devlin
Alex Greive ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-4-3
1 Z. Hemming G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
23 R. Strain M
17 K. Baccus M
6 M. O'Hara M
3 S. Tanser M
10 C. McMenamin F
20 T. Olusanya F
11 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
9 M. Mandron
21 A. Greive
15 C. Boyd-Munce
18 C. Dunne
19 S. Nahmani
2 J. Bolton
16 T. Small
27 P. Urminský
8 R. Flynn

Coach: S. Robinson

Hearts

4-2-3-1
28 Z. Clark G
13 N. Atkinson D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
3 S. Kingsley D
6 B. Baningime M
8 C. Nieuwenhof M
14 C. Devlin M
10 L. Boyce M
77 K. Vargas M
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
21 T. Sibbick
29 O. Offiah
17 A. Forrest
7 J. Grant
51 A. Lowry
5 P. Haring
22 A. Denholm
12 M. McGovern
25 M. Tait

Coach: S. Naismith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,62
🔒
U
3,19
🔒
B
2,74
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,11
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,71
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.