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Bundesliga

Referee: J Weinberger

Sturm Graz

U T S S S

2–2

Full-time

Salzburg

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Salzburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,3

This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 92%

83%

100%

Points per game

2,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

2,0

2,7

Conceded

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%

9 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 4

7 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 12

6 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Salzburg 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	6	6	0	0	+14	18
2	Sturm Graz	6	5	1	0	+10	16
3	LASK	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	A. Klagenfurt	7	2	4	1	+3	10
5	SK Rapid	6	2	2	2	+6	8
6	Hartberg	6	2	2	2	-3	8
7	Altach	7	2	2	3	-3	8
8	Wolfsberger AC	6	1	3	2	-3	6
9	Austria Vienna	6	1	2	3	-5	5
10	BW Linz	7	1	2	4	-9	5
11	Tirol	6	0	2	4	-8	2
12	A. Lustenau	6	0	2	4	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Sturm Graz	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	SK Rapid	3	1	1	1	+3	4
5	Wolfsberger AC	4	1	1	2	-3	4
6	Altach	3	1	0	2	-2	3
7	A. Klagenfurt	3	0	2	1	-2	2
8	Austria Vienna	3	0	2	1	-3	2
9	BW Linz	3	0	2	1	-5	2
10	Tirol	3	0	1	2	-4	1
11	Hartberg	3	0	1	2	-7	1
12	A. Lustenau	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Sturm Graz	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	A. Klagenfurt	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Hartberg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Altach	4	1	2	1	-1	5
6	SK Rapid	3	1	1	1	+3	4
7	LASK	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Austria Vienna	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	BW Linz	4	1	0	3	-4	3
10	Wolfsberger AC	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	A. Lustenau	3	0	2	1	-2	2
12	Tirol	3	0	1	2	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.